Development, maintenance or implosion of a housing bubble? The dynamics of prices on Natal's real estate market in the period 2005- 2010

Abstract

This paper was motivated by the perception that the rising of house prices in Natal had components that needed to be investigated, among them, the foreign capital influx, especially for application in the sectors of tourism and real estate, and the behavior of mortgage. The aim of this work is to examine the evolution of market prices of properties in the city during the period 2005; 2010. The indicators presented allowed a collection of evidences sufficient to show that: a) there was a bubble in real estate in the triennium 2005; 2007; b) this bubble was not imploded in 2009; 2010, after the 2008 financial crisis, as the upward movement of prices remained.

Real state bubbles; Foreign capital; Real state credit