Análise crítica da extensão da estratégia de Polos de Desenvolvimento para a Zona Norte da cidade de São Paulo

ALEXANDRE ABDAL

School of Business Administration of Fundação Getulio Vargas, São Paulo, SP, Brazil. E-mail: alexandre.abdal@fgv.br

TOMÁS WISSENBACH

Brazilian Center for Analysis and Planning, São Paulo, SP, Brazil. E-mail: twissenbach@gmail.com

ALEXANDRE ABDAL [https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3577-1238] holds a doctorate degree in sociology from the University of São Paulo (USP). He is a professor at fgv-eaesp, a researcher and post-doctoral fellow at Cebrap, and a researcher at Observatório das Metrópoles. Together with Tomás, he is responsible for the conception, writing, and analysis of this article.

TOMÁS WISSENBACH [https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7278-9659] holds a doctorate degree in public administration from fgv-eaesp, and a master’s degree in human geography from the University of São Paulo (USP). He is a researcher at Cebrap. Together with Alexandre, he was responsible for the conception, writing, and analysis of this article.

Anhanguera	Fernão Dias	Raimundo Pereira de Magalhães
- Total area: 33.5 km²	- Total area: 73 km²	- Total area: 69.1 km²
- Resident population: 79,000 inhabitants. (Seade, 2017)	- Resident population: 436,000 inhabitants. (Seade, 2017)	- Resident population: 462,000 inhabitants. (Seade, 2017)
- Formal jobs: 2,476; 0.5% of total jobs in the North Zone (RAIS, 2017)	- Formal jobs: 45,358; 9% of total jobs in the North Zone (RAIS, 2017)	- Formal jobs: 69,225; 14% of total jobs in the North Zone (RAIS, 2017)
- Occupancy rate: 34% (OD Metro 2017)	- Occupancy rate: 37% (OD Metro 2017)	- Occupancy rate: 35% (OD Metro 2017)
- % of households in slums: 7.8% (Habita-Sampa; Sead; Housind Projects)	- % of households in slums: 10.1% (Habita-Sampa; Sead; Housind Projects)	- % of households in slums: 14.1% (Habita-Sampa; Sead; Housind Projects)

Challenges	Opportunities
- "Urbanization without a city", with social and environmental liabilities.	- Implementation of public infrastructure investments in the North Zone (set forth in the Strategic Master Plan or in other urban planning instruments).
- Deindustrialization and reprimarization of exports on a national scale.
- Economic crisis followed by slow recovery of growth an of the job market.
- More intense productive restructuring in the Metropolitan Area and the city of São Paulo, with demobilization of industrial investments.	- Emergence of a specialized services sector, which is polarized in the city of São Paulo;
	- Attraction of logistics investments.
- Formation of the São Paulo Macrometropolis with expansion of the processing industry.	- Completion of the ring road (Rodoanel) and strategic macro and metropolitan repositioning;
	- Attraction of demobilized industrial investments that remain in the macro and metropolitan rings.

Brasil