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"People in arms" versus "People of the Bolsa família": imaginary and the popular vote in 2018

Abstract

The article discusses the motivations for and meanings of the popular vote in the presidential election that brought bolsonarismo to power, analyzing qualitative data from a study conducted between 2018 and 2019 in two regions: in Ceará (Juazeiro do Norte, Crato and Araripe) and in São Paulo (Marília and the city of São Paulo). The analysis reveals that a split emerged in what until then the popular classes expected from politics, between a continuity of lulismo, on one hand, and a radical change, on the other. Thus, the results confirmed that there was a division in the Lula base at the deepest level of beliefs, values and expectations. In the realm of the imaginary, we found a religious mediation in the clashes of popular expectations, linked to messianic beliefs that historically intertwined politics and religion in the country.

electoral behavior; Bolsonarismo; popular classes; Lulismo; 2018 presidential elections

Centro de Estudos de Opinião Pública da Universidade Estadual de Campinas Cidade Universitária 'Zeferino Vaz", CESOP, Rua Cora Coralina, 100. Prédio dos Centros e Núcleos (IFCH-Unicamp), CEP: 13083-896 Campinas - São Paulo - Brasil, Tel.: (55 19) 3521-7093 - Campinas - SP - Brazil
E-mail: rop@unicamp.br