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Sector dynamics and productive specialization in the Brazilian manufacturing industry between 1998 and 2014

Dinâmica setorial e especialização produtiva da indústria de transformação brasileira entre 1998 e 2014

Abstract

The deindustrialization process in Brazil has been widely discussed in the economic literature. However, should the entire manufacturing industry be seen as a loser in this development process? And what would be the factors associated with the structural transformations of the Brazilian industry? This article analyzes the losers and winners of the Brazilian development process between 1998 and 2014, a period marked by profound economic transformations. The work uses an innovative approach, considering data from 200 classes of the manufacturing industry and a new strategy of grouping the more and less dynamic sectors. The results highlight: i) particularly favored sectors, such as the processing of agricultural commodities and the consumer goods sectors (such as the manufacture of computers, telephone sets, air conditioners, automobiles, television sets, among others); (ii) particularly fragile sectors, such as the textile and chemical industry segments.

Keywords:
Structural Transformation; Factor Analysis; Cluster Analysis; Manufacture

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