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Social Security reform and transition cost: simulating a Universal System for Brazil

This article presents a proposal to reform Brazil's pension system. The new system is based on the principles of actuarial fairness, incentive to formalization, universalization and simplification of the social security structure. We calculated the contribution rate needed to balance the system. The social security debt is also estimated in the present situation and in the proposed system. Finally, the transition cost of shifting to the new system is calculated. The results show that, although,distributed over time, this cost is high.

Social Security; Pension Reform; Social Security Debt, Transition Cost; Brazil


Universidade de São Paulo, Faculdade de Economia, Administração e Contabilidade, Departamento de Contabilidade e Atuária Av. Prof. Luciano Gualberto, 908 - prédio 3 - sala 118, 05508 - 010 São Paulo - SP - Brasil, Tel.: (55 11) 2648-6320, Tel.: (55 11) 2648-6321, Fax: (55 11) 3813-0120 - São Paulo - SP - Brazil
E-mail: recont@usp.br