Atribui a si mesmo qualidades ou características acima das reais. |
Christensen-Szalanski; Bushyhead (1981Christensen-Szalanski, J. J., & Bushyhead, J. B. (1981). Physicians’ use of probabilistic information in a real clinical setting.Journal of Experimental Psychology: Human perception and performance, 7(4), 928.) |
Buehler, Griffin; Ross (1994Buehler, R., Griffin, D., & Ross, M. (1994). Exploring the “Planning Fallacy”: Why people underestimate their task completion times.Journal of Personality and Social Psychology,67(3), 366-381.) |
Clayson (2005Clayson, D. E. (2005). Performance overconfidence: metacognitive effects or misplaced student expectations? Journal of Marketing Education,27(2), 122-129.) |
Presson; Benassi (1996Presson, P. K., & Benassi, V. A. (1996). Illusion of control: A meta-analytic review. Journal of Social Behavior and Personality,11(3), 493-510.) |
Buehler, Griffin; Ross (1994Buehler, R., Griffin, D., & Ross, M. (1994). Exploring the “Planning Fallacy”: Why people underestimate their task completion times.Journal of Personality and Social Psychology,67(3), 366-381.) |
Keh, Derr Foo; Lim (2002Keh, H. T., Der Foo, M., & Lim, B. C. (2002). Opportunity evaluation under risky conditions: The cognitive processes of entrepreneurs.Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice,27(2), 125-148.) |
Graham, Harvey e Huang (2009Gosling, M., & Lago, J. (2006). Dimensões do valor percebido ea influência no boca-a-boca: reflexões teóricas e proposição de um modelo.REAd-Revista Eletrônica de Administração,12(5), 345-368.) |
Acredita possuir habilidades acima da média. |
Zenger (1992) |
Svenson (1981Svenson, O. (1981). Are we all less risky and more skillful than our fellow drivers? Acta Psychologica,47(2), 143-148.) |
Zenger (1992) |
Odean (1998Odean, T. (1998). Volume, volatility, price, and profit when all traders are above average.The Journal of Finance,53(6), 1887-1934.) |
Kahneman; Riepe (1998Kahneman, D., & Riepe, M. W. (1998). Aspects of investor psychology.The Journal of Portfolio Management Summer, 24(4), 52-65.) |
Baratella (2007Baratella, F. M. (2007). Excesso de Confiança: Estudantes versus gerentes. Dissertação (mestrado) - Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina, Centro Sócio-Econômico. Programa de Pós-Graduação em Administração. Florianópolis, SC. ) |
Peterson (2008Peterson, J. J. (2008). Appropriate factors to consider when assessing analytic confidence in intelligence analysis. Master of Science Thesis, Department of Intelligence Studies, Mercyhurst College, Erie, Pennsylvania.) |
Bazerman; Moore (2010Moore, D. A., Tanlu, L., & Bazerman, M. H. (2010). Conflict of interest and the intrusion of bias.Judgment and Decision Making, 5(1), 37-53.) |
Possui certeza mesmo em informações incertas. |
Alpert; Raiffa (1982Alpert, M., & Raiffa, H. (1982). A progress report on the training of probability assessors. In: D. Kahneman, P. Slovic, and A. Tversky, (Eds.), Judgmentunder Uncertainty: Heuristicsand Biases. Cambridge University Press. ) |
Klayman, Soll, Gonzalez-Vallejo; Barlas (1999Klayman, J., Soll, J. B., González-Vallejo, C., & Barlas, S. (1999). Overconfidence: It depends on how, what, and whom you ask.Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes,79(3), 216-247.) |
Soll; Klayman (2004) |
Taylor; Brown (1988Taylor, S. E., & Brown, J. D. (1988). Illusion and well-being: a social psychological perspective on mental health.Psychological Bulletin,103(2), 193-210.) |
Graham, Harvey; Huang (2009Gosling, M., & Lago, J. (2006). Dimensões do valor percebido ea influência no boca-a-boca: reflexões teóricas e proposição de um modelo.REAd-Revista Eletrônica de Administração,12(5), 345-368.) |
Souza et al. (2011) |
Subestima a probabilidade de ocorrência de um desastre. |
Omer; Alon (1994Omer, H., & Alon, N. (1994). The continuity principle: A unified approach to disaster and trauma.American Journal of Community Psychology,22(2), 273-287.) |
Kuligowski; Gwynne (2010Kuligowski, E. D., & Gwynne, S. M. (2010). The need for behavioral theory in evacuation modeling. In:Pedestrian and Evacuation Dynamics 2008(pp. 721-732). Springer.) |
Dificuldade em aceitar uma situação de risco. |
Schwenk (1988Schwenk, C. R. (1988). The cognitive perspective on strategic decision making. Journal of Management Studies, 25(1), 41-55.) |
Mesmo com evidências de risco, aguarda a confirmação de fontes alternativas. |
Choo; Nadarajah (2014Choo, C. W., & Nadarajah, I. (2014). Early warning information seeking in the 2009 Victorian Bushfires.Journal of the Association for Information Science and Technology,65(1), 84-97.) |
Acredita que as situações de risco são controladas. |
Taylor; Brown (1988Taylor, S. E., & Brown, J. D. (1988). Illusion and well-being: a social psychological perspective on mental health.Psychological Bulletin,103(2), 193-210.) |
Hammond; Horswill (2001Hammond, T. B., & Horswill, M. S. (2001). The influence of desire for control on drivers’ risk-taking behaviour. Transportation research part F: traffic psychology and behaviour, 4(4), 271-277.) |
Acredita na realidade menos alarmante. |
Omer; Alon (1994Omer, H., & Alon, N. (1994). The continuity principle: A unified approach to disaster and trauma.American Journal of Community Psychology,22(2), 273-287.) |