Career Choice and Legislative Reelection: Evidence from Brazil and Colombia

Botero, Felipe; Rennó, Lucio R.

doi:10.1590/1981-3825200700010005

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Article • Bras. Political Sci. Rev. 1 (1) • 2007 • https://doi.org/10.1590/1981-3825200700010005 copy

Career Choice and Legislative Reelection: Evidence from Brazil and Colombia¹ 1 Earlier versions of the paper were presented at the meetings of the Midwest Political Science Association MPSA (2003) and Latin American Studies Association LASA (2004). We are thankful to the participants for their comments. We also thank Scott Desposato and Juan Carlos Rodríguez for reading and commenting on earlier versions. Finally, we also thank anonymous reviewers at BPSR..

Authorship SCIMAGO INSTITUTIONS RANKINGS

This paper explores the differences and similarities between the electoral systems in Brazil and Colombia and how it affects Brazilian incumbent Federal Deputies’ and Colombian Diputados’ political career choices and electoral success. The main argument is that even though both electoral systems are, in general terms, quite distinct, they appear to produce very similar effects in career choices and reelection. The main cause of the effects found is that the institutional minutiae of the two electoral systems increase their similarities.

Key words:
Legislative Careers; reelection; electoral systems

Year	PC	PL	All other parties	Total
1994	88 (.14)	294 (.47)	245 (.39)	627
1998	58 (.09)	277 (.41)	333 (.50)	668
2002	57 (.06)	334 (.37)	515 (.57)	906
Total	203(.09)	905 (.41)	1093 (.50)	2201

District	PC	PL	All other parties	Total
Caldas	3	3	9	15
Cordoba	3	6	1	10
Magdalena	1	6	3	10
Nariño	2	3	9	14
Norte de Santander	2	4	12	18

	Colombia	Brazil	Total
1994/1998	52.80	74.85	69.58
1998/2002	51.55	73.88	68.55

	Colombia	Brazil	Total
1994/1998	69.41	62.05	63.75
1998/2002	60.24	69.66	67.97

Covariates		Coefficient	S.E.
Electoral System
	Electoral Competition	-0.004	0.038
	Member of Traditional Parties	-0.033	0.080
	ENP	0.065^ p < .05	0.016
Legislative Performance
	Laws passed	-0.027	0.086
	Committee Chairperson	0.277^ p < .05	0.105
Constant		0.067	0.107
Log-Likelihood		-830.56	(p < .0001)
Wald X2		26.11
P		8.32×10^-7
N		1274

Covariates		Coefficient	S.E.
Electoral System
	Electoral Competition	-0.125^ p < .05	0.051
	Member of Traditional Parties	0.286^ p < .05	0.105
	ENP	0.047^ p < .05	0.022
Legislative Performance
	Laws passed	0.033	0.120
	Committee Chairperson	0.111	0.133
Constant		0.100	0.138
Log-Likelihood		-584.52	(p < 0.014)
Wald X2		14.13
P		0.185
N		1005

Covariates		Coefficient	S.E.
Electoral System
	Electoral Competition	-0.037	0.103
	Member of Traditional Parties	-0.347^ p < .05	0.202
	ENP	-0.017	0.037
Legislative Performance
	Laws passed	0.023	0.135
	Committee Chairperson	0.701^ p < .05	0.189
Interactions with Country Dummy
	Brazil	0.238	0.455
	Electoral Competition × Brazil	0.034	0.089
	Member of Traditional Parties × Brazil	0.549^ p < .05	0.265
	ENP × Brazil	0.064	0.080
	Laws passed × Brazil	0.096	0.235
	Committee Chairperson × Brazil	-0.776^ p < .05	0.338
Interactions with Election Dummy
	Election	-0.427	0.324
	Electoral Competition × Election	-0.070	0.107
	Member of Traditional Parties × Election	0.486^* * p < .10;	0.257
	ENP × Election	0.047	0.041
	Laws passed × Election	-0.103	0.238
	Committee Chairperson × Election	-0.383	0.258
Interactions with both Country and Election Dummies
	Electoral Competition × Brazil × Election	0.262	0.566
	Member of Traditional Parties × Brazil × Election	-0.675^* * p < .10;	0.345
	ENP × Brazil × Election	-0.027	0.089
	Laws passed × Brazil × Election	-0.086	0.497
	Committee Chairperson × Brazil × Election	0.522	0.462
Constant		0.317	0.268
Log-Likelihood		-778.09	(p < .0001)
Wald X ²		127.38
P		8.32×10^-7
N		1274

Covariates		Coefficient	S.E.
Electoral System
	Electoral Competition	-0.188	0.151
	Member of Traditional Parties	1.091***	0.333
	ENP	0.021	0.061
Legislative Performance
	Laws passed	0.152	0.244
	Committee Chairperson	-0.039	0.277
Interactions with Country Dummy
	Brazil	-0.203	0.567
	Electoral Competition × Brazil	-0.081	0.131
	Member of Traditional Parties × Brazil	-0.841^ p < .05	0.374
	ENP × Brazil	0.138	0.100
	Laws passed × Brazil	-0.103	0.304
	Committee Chairperson × Brazil	0.325	0.411
Interactions with Election Dummy
	Election	0.419	0.494
	Electoral Competition × Election	0.119	0.138
	Member of Traditional Parties × Election	-1.289***	0.432
	ENP × Election	0.034	0.069
	Laws passed × Election	-0.568	0.432
	Committee Chairperson × Election	0.256	0.389
Interactions with both Country and Election Dummies
	Electoral Competition × Brazil × Election	0.171	0.708
	Member of Traditional Parties × Brazil × Election	1.207	0.496
	ENP × Brazil × Election	-0.133	0.112
	Laws passed × Brazil × Election	0.870	0.820
	Committee Chairperson × Brazil × Election	-0.711	0.573
Constant		-0.164	0.400
Log-Likelihood		-571.69	0.1355
Wald X²		29.34
P		0.23
N		1005

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[1] 1
Earlier versions of the paper were presented at the meetings of the Midwest Political Science Association MPSA (2003) and Latin American Studies Association LASA (2004). We are thankful to the participants for their comments. We also thank Scott Desposato and Juan Carlos Rodríguez for reading and commenting on earlier versions. Finally, we also thank anonymous reviewers at BPSR..