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Temporal trend and spatial distribution of homicides in young men in the state of Mato Grosso, Brazil, 1996-2016

Abstract

Background

Homicide is the main cause of death for young men with several causes and its study can support intervention measures.

Objective

To analyze the temporal trend and spatial distribution of homicides among young men in the health regions of the state of Mato Grosso, Brazil, 1996-2016.

Method

This is an ecological study with data from the Mortality Information System. Homicide rates among young men by health region were calculated. Prais-Winsten generalized linear regression was used.

Results

8,383 homicides were registered in young men in the studied period, with an average growth of 62% of the rates that varied from 67.4 to 134.5 / 100 thousand inhabitants. Spatial analysis revealed differences between health regions and increased rates over the years in most of them (9/16). Seven health regions showed an increasing time trend and, as in the state, the others (56.2%) showed a stable trend, but with high rates maintained.

Conclusion

There was an increase in the homicide rate among young men in Mato Grosso, with differences in trends and the magnitude of rates between regions.

Keywords:
homicide; young adult; adolescent; spatial analysis; time series studies

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