Cultivation of nonnative candeia under conditions of monoculture or in agroforestry systems comes as an interesting alternative to meet the market demand for timber from this particular species, while at the same time helping reduce pressure on native candeia fragments. The objective of this study was to analyze the economic feasibility of candeia cultivation, in risk situations, under conditions of monoculture and intercropped with other agricultural crops. The study site is located in the municipality of Baependi, southern Minas Gerais state, and the experiment was set up in an area of 3.2 hectares, using a randomized block design with six treatments and three replicates. The analysis of economic feasibility was performed using the Net Present Value method for an infinite planning horizon (VPL ). For the risk analysis, the Monte Carlo method was used. The agroforestry systems being tested were found to be economically feasible, noting that the system in which candeia is cultivated at spacing intervals of 10 x 2 meters, intercropped with corn in between rows, is more profitable and less risky than the others. Candeia cultivation as a monoculture is economically feasible, provided that soil tillage is done conventionally.
Forest economics; risk analysis; Monte Carlo method; Eremanthus erythropappus; alpha-bisabolol
