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Possible role of artificial intelligence in diagnosis of cases with non-specific signs and symptoms of dengue: A comment

Given the global concern about the continued spread of dengue, which now also affects countries in the Northern region of the world, especially Europe,11 Brem J., Elankeswaran B., Erne D., Hedrich N., Lovey T., Marzetta V., et al. Dengue “homegrown” in Europe (2022 to 2023). New Microbes New Infect. 2023;56:101205.,22 Naddaf M. Dengue is spreading in Europe: how worried should we be? Nature. 2023. doi: 10.1038/d41586-023-03407-6. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 37907794.
https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-023-03407...
tools based on Artificial Intelligence (AI) have been developed with the aim of predicting possible scenarios and better directing related preventive actions.33 Yang H., Nguyen T.N., Chuang T.W. An integrative explainable artificial intelligence approach to analyze fine-scale land-cover and land-use factors associated with spatial distributions of place of residence of reported dengue cases. Trop Med Infect Dis. 2023;8(4):238.,44 Roster K., Connaughton C., Rodrigues F.A. Machine-learning-based forecasting of dengue fever in Brazilian cities using epidemiologic and meteorological variables. Am J Epidemiol. 2022;191(10):1803-12. According to the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control, dozens of locally transmitted cases of the infection were reported in Italy and France at the end of October 2023, while a smaller but still worrying number occurred in Spain in the same period. This has not only been restricted to the southernmost regions of Europe but has also affected the Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes and Île-de-France regions.22 Naddaf M. Dengue is spreading in Europe: how worried should we be? Nature. 2023. doi: 10.1038/d41586-023-03407-6. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 37907794.
https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-023-03407...
Within this increasingly challenging context, there should be a persistent concern about how to improve different aspects of epidemiological and laboratory surveillance of the disease, mainly aiming for better diagnosis outcomes and appropriate treatment.

In this way, some critical issues should not be neglected, especially when taking into account the existence of different types of dengue, with variable symptoms, in addition to the occurrence of many cases whose clinical manifestations do not have specificity with the standard clinical diagnostic criteria.55 Estofolete C.F., de Oliveira Mota M.T., Bernardes Terzian A.C., de Aguiar Milhim B.H.G., Ribeiro M.R., Nunes D.V., et al. Unusual clinical manifestations of dengue disease ‒ Real or imagined? Acta Trop. 2019;199:105134. As a result, significant challenges persist for both clinical diagnosis and predictability of disease occurrence, thus requiring timely confirmation through laboratory tests. This in turn can have an important impact on the prevalence of underreporting and errors in diagnosis and management, which may involve a significant percentage of cases of the disease around the world. In this respect, the possible use of AI to predict diagnoses and assist in the decision to indicate confirmatory laboratory tests for cases with non-specific signs and symptoms amidst an outbreak or epidemic of the disease could play an important role in both early and differential diagnosis, and consequently in the epidemiological setting.

A further important point in this regard is that considering the potential role of AI in diagnosis, the main contribution of this powerful tool would be particularly related to the well-known difficulty in differentiating tropical infections due to their homogeneous nature, and clinical and laboratory presentations. Based on this premise, a recent and relevant related study has identified by retrospective analysis the best predictors in terms of laboratory parameters and clinical presentations of different tropical infections to develop a multinomial logistic regression model and a machine learning model to assist in differential diagnosis.66 Shenoy S., Rajan A.K., Rashid M., Chandran V.P., Poojari P.G., Kunhikatta V., et al. Artificial intelligence in differentiating tropical infections: a step ahead. PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2022;16(6):e0010455.

Furthermore, the use of AI tools to indicate the need for different confirmatory laboratory tests in cases with non-specific clinical features, including the rapid test (NS1 antigen detection), IgM and IgG antibody tests or molecular test (Real-Time Polymerase Chain Reaction, RT-PCR), could help healthcare teams involved to make related decisions with greater levels of accuracy and assertiveness. In this connection, the time of infection, specific and non-specific signs and symptoms, current medical history and antecedents, epidemiology, and specific physical examinations should be essential factors to be considered. Such an approach would be a great advantage, especially during outbreaks/epidemics of the disease. In these situations, in addition to the overload of hospitals and outpatient services, delays in the release of relevant test results may also occur in response to excessive workload or insufficient laboratory infrastructure. Other possible related benefits are described in Table 1, summarizing the present propositions.

Table 1
Potential additional advantages of using AI to predict the need for confirmatory laboratory tests for cases with non-specific signs and symptoms of dengue.

Looking toward advances in early diagnosis of the disease using AI, different prediction models have been studied in order to forecast the onset of dengue infection.77 Mello-Román J.D., Mello-Román J.C., Gómez-Guerrero S., García-Torres M. Predictive models for the medical diagnosis of dengue: a case study in Paraguay. Comput Math Methods Med. 2019;2019:7307803. Furthermore, there has also been a concern for the classification of microarray datasets. In this sense, the results of an important study found that AI-based methods for the selection of features, although showing differences in their performance, may be helpful in improving the classification accuracy of dengue data and even in decreasing the computational time required for the selection process, thus leading to a better understanding of the data.88 Octaria E.A., Siswantining T., Bustamam A., Sarwinda D. Kernel PCA and SVM-RFE based feature selection for classification of dengue microarray dataset. In: AIP Conf Proc 2264;2020:030004-6. AI models may also play a pivotal role in understanding the dynamics of disease prognosis through the integration of analysis, including inpatient and outpatient management of dengue cases.99 Phakhounthong K., Chaovalit P., Jittamala P., Blacksell S.D., Carter M.J., Turner P., et al. Predicting the severity of dengue fever in children on admission based on clinical features and laboratory indicators: application of classification tree analysis. BMC Pediatr. 2018;18(1):109.

Following this line of reasoning, another prominent application of AI techniques is related to the integration of epidemiological data with the purpose of assisting in targeted interventions for disease surveillance and control.44 Roster K., Connaughton C., Rodrigues F.A. Machine-learning-based forecasting of dengue fever in Brazilian cities using epidemiologic and meteorological variables. Am J Epidemiol. 2022;191(10):1803-12. A growing body of scientific evidence suggests that environmental factors such as rainfall, humidity, and temperature play a crucial role in the spreading of dengue. Integrating these factors using machine learning methods can improve the performance of predicting its incidence.1010 Fang L., Hu W., Pan G. Meteorological factors cannot be ignored in machine learning-based methods for predicting dengue, a systematic review. Int J Biometeorol. 2024;68(3):401-10. Practical evidence of this approach is highlighted by Anggraini Ningrum et al. who obtained an AI-based model capable of predicting an outbreak with an accuracy of up to 89.25 %.1111 Anggraini Ningrum D.N., Li Y.J., Hsu C.Y., Solihuddin Muhtar M., Pandu Suhito H. Artificial intelligence approach for severe dengue early warning system. Stud Health Technol Inform. 2024;310:881-885. Indeed, such methods can function as a supplementary tool for traditional surveillance, leading to new perspectives in advanced analysis within the field of public health.1212 Sebastianelli A., Spiller D., Carmo R., Wheeler J., Nowakowski A., Jacobson L.V., et al. A reproducible ensemble machine learning approach to forecast dengue outbreaks. Sci Rep. 2024;14(1):3807. Thus, AI may potentially aid in the comprehensive understanding of the disease, leading to more effective dengue control strategies and management.

Finally, more research involving AI could therefore be useful for the development of tools aimed at improving both the diagnosis and management of dengue cases, while contributing to technological advances in healthcare and the well-being and quality of life of the population.

Acknowledgments

MRT-P and AS thank the SRM Institute of Science and Technology for supporting this manuscript.

  • Funding
    This manuscript received no specific grant from any funding agency in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.

References

  • 1
    Brem J., Elankeswaran B., Erne D., Hedrich N., Lovey T., Marzetta V., et al. Dengue “homegrown” in Europe (2022 to 2023). New Microbes New Infect. 2023;56:101205.
  • 2
    Naddaf M. Dengue is spreading in Europe: how worried should we be? Nature. 2023. doi: 10.1038/d41586-023-03407-6. Epub ahead of print. PMID: 37907794.
    » https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-023-03407-6.
  • 3
    Yang H., Nguyen T.N., Chuang T.W. An integrative explainable artificial intelligence approach to analyze fine-scale land-cover and land-use factors associated with spatial distributions of place of residence of reported dengue cases. Trop Med Infect Dis. 2023;8(4):238.
  • 4
    Roster K., Connaughton C., Rodrigues F.A. Machine-learning-based forecasting of dengue fever in Brazilian cities using epidemiologic and meteorological variables. Am J Epidemiol. 2022;191(10):1803-12.
  • 5
    Estofolete C.F., de Oliveira Mota M.T., Bernardes Terzian A.C., de Aguiar Milhim B.H.G., Ribeiro M.R., Nunes D.V., et al. Unusual clinical manifestations of dengue disease ‒ Real or imagined? Acta Trop. 2019;199:105134.
  • 6
    Shenoy S., Rajan A.K., Rashid M., Chandran V.P., Poojari P.G., Kunhikatta V., et al. Artificial intelligence in differentiating tropical infections: a step ahead. PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2022;16(6):e0010455.
  • 7
    Mello-Román J.D., Mello-Román J.C., Gómez-Guerrero S., García-Torres M. Predictive models for the medical diagnosis of dengue: a case study in Paraguay. Comput Math Methods Med. 2019;2019:7307803.
  • 8
    Octaria E.A., Siswantining T., Bustamam A., Sarwinda D. Kernel PCA and SVM-RFE based feature selection for classification of dengue microarray dataset. In: AIP Conf Proc 2264;2020:030004-6.
  • 9
    Phakhounthong K., Chaovalit P., Jittamala P., Blacksell S.D., Carter M.J., Turner P., et al. Predicting the severity of dengue fever in children on admission based on clinical features and laboratory indicators: application of classification tree analysis. BMC Pediatr. 2018;18(1):109.
  • 10
    Fang L., Hu W., Pan G. Meteorological factors cannot be ignored in machine learning-based methods for predicting dengue, a systematic review. Int J Biometeorol. 2024;68(3):401-10.
  • 11
    Anggraini Ningrum D.N., Li Y.J., Hsu C.Y., Solihuddin Muhtar M., Pandu Suhito H. Artificial intelligence approach for severe dengue early warning system. Stud Health Technol Inform. 2024;310:881-885.
  • 12
    Sebastianelli A., Spiller D., Carmo R., Wheeler J., Nowakowski A., Jacobson L.V., et al. A reproducible ensemble machine learning approach to forecast dengue outbreaks. Sci Rep. 2024;14(1):3807.

Publication Dates

  • Publication in this collection
    24 June 2024
  • Date of issue
    2024

History

  • Received
    18 Apr 2024
  • Accepted
    28 Apr 2024
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