This paper investigates whether a proposed project for increasing the nominal capacity for the Marabá International Airport to 500.000 passengers/year would be adequate. In order to do this it uses a demand forecast approach through use of linear regressions. Three models are econometrically analyzed, and an option is made for a compromise between explanation of historical evolution and predictive capacity characteristics. It is concluded that strong indications are present that the proposed reform is insufficient in its scope.
airport demand; marabá; regional airports; investments; econometrics