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Opening the black box: an empirical analysis of the determinants of success of the demarcation of indigenous lands in Brazil

Abstract

The objective of this article is to answer the question: why are some Indigenous Lands demarcated, while others are not? It first lists the institutional and non-institutional variables suggested by the specialized literature that can influence the demarcation process. It then applies the Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA) technique on a crisp set composed of 40 cases of Indigenous Lands in various regions of the country. The article demonstrates that: 1. Intragroup cohesion of indigenous leaders in conjunction with acts of mobilization and indigenous protest account for most cases of demarcation verified; 2. The possibility to obtain demarcation by means of purely bureaucratic factors. The conclusion indicates the importance that the Brazilian state, in its treatment of the different indigenous groups in the country, does not act to aggravate their possible internal divisions, which could neutralize a crucial factor for guaranteeing the territorial rights of this population segment.

indigenous lands; demarcation; QCA; cohesion; protests

Centro de Estudos de Opinião Pública da Universidade Estadual de Campinas Cidade Universitária 'Zeferino Vaz", CESOP, Rua Cora Coralina, 100. Prédio dos Centros e Núcleos (IFCH-Unicamp), CEP: 13083-896 Campinas - São Paulo - Brasil, Tel.: (55 19) 3521-7093 - Campinas - SP - Brazil
E-mail: rop@unicamp.br