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Determinantes dos padrões de carreira política dos deputados federais paulistas entre as legislaturas 49ª (1991-1995) e 53ª (2007-2011)

This article aims to analyze the determinants of political career patterns among federal deputies elected by the State of São Paulo (Brazil) for the 49th (1991-1995) -53rd (2007-2011) legislatures. By using statistical techniques such as chi-squared test, Fisher's exact test and logistic regression, this article concludes that: i) exit of political life is associated with the levels of electoral concentration and local competitiveness, as well as with the parliamentary behavior; ii) success in re-election campaigns is associated with the accumulation of political capital, with the parliamentary behavior and with partisan loyalty; and iii) success in mayoral campaigns is associated with the level of local electoral competitiveness.

political career; federal deputy; Chamber of Deputies; reelection; political strategy


Centro de Estudos de Opinião Pública da Universidade Estadual de Campinas Cidade Universitária 'Zeferino Vaz", CESOP, Rua Cora Coralina, 100. Prédio dos Centros e Núcleos (IFCH-Unicamp), CEP: 13083-896 Campinas - São Paulo - Brasil, Tel.: (55 19) 3521-7093 - Campinas - SP - Brazil
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