Abstract
The objective of this work was to evaluate the efficiency of direct and indirect selection in genome-wide selection (GWS) and to compare multivariate strategies applied to GWS via selection indices. Ten F2 populations with 800 individuals were simulated, considering four traits with different heritabilities. The simulated data were subjected to genomic selection analyses. The five following strategies of selection indices were developed and applied to GWS: weighting of marker effects by residual variance; coding and standardization of marker effects; application of the average to the marker effects; application of the Mulamba & Mock index to genomic genetic values; and coding and standardization of phenotypic values before the GWS analyses. The GWS methods were more efficient than phenotypic selection. The multivariate strategies provide a higher selection efficiency than the direct and indirect phenotypic selections and than the direct and indirect selections based on genomic genetic values and on the phenotypic selection index.
Index terms:
>heritability; >multivariate analysis; >quantitative genetics; >selection index
Resumo
O objetivo deste trabalho foi avaliar a eficiência da seleção direta e indireta sobre a seleção genômica ampla (GWS) e comparar estratégias multivariadas aplicadas à GWS via índices de seleção. Dez populações F2 com 800 indivíduos foram simuladas, tendo-se considerando quatro características com herdabilidades diferentes. Os dados simulados foram submetidos a análises de seleção genômica. As cinco seguintes estratégias de índices de seleção foram desenvolvidas e aplicadas à GWS: ponderação dos efeitos dos marcadores pela variância residual; codificação e padronização dos efeitos dos marcadores; aplicação da média aos efeitos dos marcadores; aplicação do índice de Mulamba & Mock aos valores genéticos genômicos; e codificação e padronização dos valores fenotípicos antes das análises de GWS. Os métodos de GWS foram mais eficientes do que a seleção fenotípica. As estratégias multivariadas avaliadas proporcionam maior eficiência de seleção do que a seleção fenotípica direta e indireta e do que a seleção direta e indireta baseada em valores genéticos genômicos e no índice de seleção fenotípica.
Termos para indexação:
herdabilidade; análise multivariada; genética quantitativa; índice de seleção
Introduction
The goal of genome-wide selection (GWS) methods (Meuwissen et al., 2001MEUWISSEN, T.H.E.; HAYES, B.J.; GODDARD, M.E. Prediction of total genetic value using genome-wide dense marker maps. Genetics, v.157, p.1819-1829, 2001. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/genetics/157.4.1819.
https://doi.org/10.1093/genetics/157.4.1...
) is the early phenotype selection, which relies on the effect predictions (on phenotype) of a large number of molecular markers. The main purposes of breeding programs are to maximize the gains with selection and to reduce the selection time (early selection). For that, GWS has been aroused more interest among breeders. The advantage of GWS is an early direct selection based on genotypic information correlated to the desired phenotype (Crossa et al., 2017CROSSA, J.; PÉREZ-RODRÍGUEZ, P.; CUEVAS, J.; MONTESINOS-LÓPEZ, O.; JARQUÍN, D.; DE LOS CAMPOS, G.; BURGUEÑO, J.; GONZÁLEZ-CAMACHO, J.M.; PÉREZ-ELIZALDE, S.; BEYENE, Y.; DREISIGACKER, S.; SINGH, R.; ZHANG, X.; GOWDA, M.; ROORKIWAL, M.; RUTKOSKI, J.; VARSHNEY, R.K. Genomic selection in plant breeding: methods, models, and perspectives. Trends in Plant Science, v.22, p.961-975, 2017. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tplants.2017.08.011.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tplants.2017.0...
; Voss-Fels et al., 2019VOSS-FELS, K.P.; COOPER, M.; HAYES, B.J. Accelerating crop genetic gains with genomic selection. Theoretical and Applied Genetics, v.132, p.669-686, 2019. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00122-018-3270-8.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00122-018-3270-...
; Budhlakoti et al., 2022BUDHLAKOTI, N.; KUSHWAHA, A.K.; RAI, A.; CHATURVEDI, K.K.; KUMAR, A.; PRADHAN, A.K.; KUMAR, U.; KUMAR, R.R.; JULIANA, P.; MISHRA, D.C.; KUMAR, S. Genomic selection: a tool for accelerating the efficiency of Molecular Breeding for Development of Climate-Resilient Crops. Frontiers in Genetics, v.13, 2022. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3389/fgene.2022.832153.
https://doi.org/10.3389/fgene.2022.83215...
; Gidamo et al., 2023GIDAMO, G.H. Genomic selection: a faster strategy for plant breeding. In: WANG, H. (Ed). Case studies of breeding strategies in major plant species. London: IntechOpen, 2023. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5772/intechopen.105398.
https://doi.org/10.5772/intechopen.10539...
).
In addition, in plant breeding programs it is of paramount importance to apply multivariate strategies, to simultaneously obtain gains from the selection of several important traits. In this context, the theory of selection indices stands out, for allowing of the formation of an additional trait established by the optimal linear combination of traits of economic interest (Cruz et al., 2012CRUZ, C.D.; REGAZZI, A.J.; CARNEIRO, P.C.S. Modelos biométricos aplicados ao melhoramento genético. 4.ed. Viçosa: Ed. da UFV, 2012. 514p.). Some studies show the efficiency of applying selection indices in plant breeding (França et al., 2016FRANÇA, Á.E.D. de; PARRELLA, R.A. da C.; SOUZA, V.F. de; BASTOS, G.Q.; NUNES, J.A.R.; SCHAFFERT, R.E. Seleção simultânea em progenies de sorgo-sacarino por meio de índices de seleção. Pesquisa Agropecuária Brasileira, v.51, p.1737-1743, 2016. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1590/s0100-204x2016001000005.
https://doi.org/10.1590/s0100-204x201600...
; Junqueira et al., 2016JUNQUEIRA, V.S.; PEIXOTO, L. de A.; LAVIOLA, B.G.; BHERING, L.L.; MENDONÇA, S.; COSTA, T. da S.A.; ANTONIASSI, R. Bayesian multi-trait analysis reveals a useful tool to increase oil concentration and to decrease toxicity in Jatropha curcas L. PLoS ONE, v.11, e0157038, 2016. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0161046.
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.016...
; Kumar et al., 2016KUMAR, B.; GULERIA, S.K.; KHANORKAR, S.M.; DUBEY, R.B.; PATEL, J.; KUMAR, V.; PARIHAR, C.M.; JAT, S.L.; SINGH, V.; YATISH, K.R.; DAS, A.; SEKHAR, J.C.; BHATI, P.; KAUR, H.; KUMAR, M.; SINGH, A.K.; VARGHESE, E.; YADAV, O.P. Selection indices to identify maize (Zea mays L.) hybrids adapted under drought-stress and drought-free conditions in a tropical climate. Crop and Pasture Science, v.67, p.1087-1095, 2016. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1071/CP16141.
https://doi.org/10.1071/CP16141...
; Silva et al., 2016SILVA, L.A.; RESENDE, R.T.; FERREIRA, R.A.D.C.; SILVA, G.N.; KIST, V.; BARBOSA, M.H.P.; NASCIMENTO, M.; BHERING, L.L. Selection index using the graphical area applied to sugarcane breeding. Genetics and Molecular Research, v.15, gmr.15038711, 2016. DOI: https://doi.org/10.4238/gmr.15038711.
https://doi.org/10.4238/gmr.15038711...
, 2017SILVA, V.B.; DAHER, R.F.; ARAÚJO, M.S.B.; SOUZA, Y.P.; CASSARO, S.; MENEZES, B.R.S.; GRAVINA, L.M.; NOVO, A.A.C.; TARDIN, F.D.; AMARAL JÚNIOR, A.T. Prediction of genetic gains by selection indices using mixed models in elephant grass for energy purposes. Genetics and Molecular Research, v.16, gmr16039781, 2017. DOI: https://doi.org/10.4238/gmr16039781.
https://doi.org/10.4238/gmr16039781...
; Vieira et al., 2016VIEIRA, R.A.; ROCHA, R.; SCAPIM, C.A.; AMARAL JÚNIOR, A.T.; VIVAS, M. Selection index based on the relative importance of traits and possibilities in breeding popcorn. Genetics and Molecular Research, v.15, gmr.15027719, 2016. DOI: https://doi.org/10.4238/gmr.15027719.
https://doi.org/10.4238/gmr.15027719...
).
The implementation of the selection index theory in GWS will be a promising proposal for plant breeding programs, to enable the direct early selection of superior individuals in a set of economic important traits in a reduced time. Currently, there are some studies describing the efficiency of applying this theory in GWS, to obtain genetic gains in plant breeding (Ceron-Rojas et al., 2015CERON-ROJAS, J.J.; CROSSA, J.; ARIEF, V.N.; BASFORD, K.; RUTKOSKI, J.; JARQUÍN, D.; ALVARADO, G.; BEYENE, Y.; SEMAGN, K.; DELACY, I. A genomic selection index applied to simulated and real data. G3: Genes, Genomes, Genetics, v. 5, p.2155-2164, 2015. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1534/g3.115.019869.
https://doi.org/10.1534/g3.115.019869...
; Fernandes et al., 2018FERNANDES, S.B.; DIAS, K.O.G.; FERREIRA, D.F.; BROWN, P.J. Efficiency of multi-trait, indirect, and trait-assisted genomic selection for improvement of biomass sorghum. Theoretical and Applied Genetics, v.131, p.747-755, 2018. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00122-017-3033-y.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00122-017-3033-...
; Silva et al., 2021SILVA, L.A.; PEIXOTO, M.A.; PEIXOTO, L. de A.; ROMERO, J.V.; BHERING, L.L. Multi-trait genomic selection indexes applied to identification of superior genotypes. Bragantia, v.80, e3621, 2021. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1590/1678-4499.20200381.
https://doi.org/10.1590/1678-4499.202003...
).
Different selection indices result in different selection alternatives and, when considering the same index, there are different selection scenarios and different ways of statistically treating the data (Cruz et al., 2012CRUZ, C.D.; REGAZZI, A.J.; CARNEIRO, P.C.S. Modelos biométricos aplicados ao melhoramento genético. 4.ed. Viçosa: Ed. da UFV, 2012. 514p.). Thus, the application of indices in GWS requires further investigation, to adjust better strategies that allow the breeder to quick and efficiently identify promising, more suited genotypes to the purposes of plant breeding programs (Ceron-Rojas et al., 2015CERON-ROJAS, J.J.; CROSSA, J.; ARIEF, V.N.; BASFORD, K.; RUTKOSKI, J.; JARQUÍN, D.; ALVARADO, G.; BEYENE, Y.; SEMAGN, K.; DELACY, I. A genomic selection index applied to simulated and real data. G3: Genes, Genomes, Genetics, v. 5, p.2155-2164, 2015. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1534/g3.115.019869.
https://doi.org/10.1534/g3.115.019869...
).
Random regression best linear unbiased predictor (RRBLUP) and multivariate partial least square (MPLS) methods were used in different selection scenarios in the present work, whose objective was to evaluate the efficiency of direct and indirect selections in GWS and to compare multivariate strategies applied to GWS via selection indices.
Materials and Methods
Data were simulated by considering a diploid species with 2n = 2x = 20 chromosomes as reference. Ten linkage groups were estimated, and each one was simulated for 100 cM size, with 100 codominant molecular marks spaced by 1cM per linkage group, totaling 1000 markers. Parental line genomes were designated as one dominant homozygote (A1A1) and one recessive homozygote (A2A2). Thus, the crossing between the parentals generated the F1 population with all marks in heterozygosis (A1A2).
From the self-fertilization of individuals in the F1 population, ten F2 mapping populations were simulated, with 800 individuals each. Each individual formation of the F2 populations was carried out, so that each individual of the F1 population produced 5000 gametes which were randomly recombined. The simulated F2 populations were coded for a given locus as 0 (representing A1A1 individuals), 1 (representing A1A2 individuals), and 2 (representing A2A2 individuals).
The quantitative traits were simulated considering a binomial distribution (a+b)s, for which a = b = 0.5, and s = 19. The additive model (additive gene action and absence of dominance between the alleles) was considered for the simulation. Four quantitative traits were simulated (C1, C2, C3, and C4), each one controlled by 100 loci which were randomly distributed at each trait. The broad-sense heritabilities (H²) of each simulated trait were 0.2, 0.4, 0.6, and 0.8, for C1, C2, C3, and C4 traits, respectively.
In addition, two alleles per locus were considered, without quantitative trait loci (QTL) of greater effects. The effect of each QTL was defined by: A1A1 = μ + a; A1A2 = μ; A2A2 = μ - a, representing the additive effect of each gene in the F2 population. Therefore, the phenotypes of the individuals (Yi) were generated according to the following model:
where: μ is the general mean of the trait; αj is the genetic effect at each locus; and εi is the environmental effect.
To proceed with the GWS analyses, it was necessary to define the training and validation of populations. For all GWS evaluated methodologies, the cross-validation was performed 5-fold with 10 replicates. That way, each F2 population with 800 individuals was divided into 5 equal groups containing 160 individuals each. Thus, the training populations were composed of 640 individuals and used to estimate the effects of the markers, while the agreement between the genetic values, which were predicted via estimates from the training population, were validated in each group of 160 individuals, considered as the validation population.
The RRBLUP (Meuwissen et al., 2001MEUWISSEN, T.H.E.; HAYES, B.J.; GODDARD, M.E. Prediction of total genetic value using genome-wide dense marker maps. Genetics, v.157, p.1819-1829, 2001. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/genetics/157.4.1819.
https://doi.org/10.1093/genetics/157.4.1...
) uses the best linear unbiased prediction (BLUP), considering that all markers have the same variance (absence of major effect genes). The RRBLUP was analyzed using the mixed.solve function of the RRBLUP package (Endelman, 2011ENDELMAN, J.B. Ridge regression and other kernels for genomic selection with R package rrBLUP. The Plant Genome, v.4, p.250-255, 2011. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3835/plantgenome2011.08.0024.
https://doi.org/10.3835/plantgenome2011....
).
Five different strategies were considered to investigate the efficiency of applying indices in the GWS, as well as to identify and select genetically superior individuals. The proposed indices are defined by the following the equations:
where: Efm is the final effect of the marker m weighted by the four evaluated traits, considering m = 1, 2, ..., 1000 markers; Mmi is the estimated effect for marker m for trait i (i = 1, 2, 3, 4); σ2i is the residual variance obtained for trait i.
In addition, the index of Mulamba & Mock was applied to the matrix of genomic estimated breeding values (GEBVs) of the four traits estimated by the RRBLUP and MPLS genomic selection methods. The index determined by the sum of the coded (or centered on the mean) and standardized phenotypic values was also applied, before applying the GWS methods. Thus, after applying the index to the phenotypic values, the data were subjected to GWS analysis by the RRBLUP and MPLS methods.
Individuals with higher phenotypic, true genetic, and GEBVs values were selected for the four evaluated traits. For selection purposes, the desirable individuals with high values for the traits C1, C3, and C4, and individuals with lower values for the trait C2 were considered.
Eighty individuals (10%) with the best performance were selected according to each scenario, taking into consideration the phenotypic values and true genetic values. In possession of the selected individuals, the selection gains (SG) were estimated by the direct and indirect selection method, using the following equation:
where: is the average of the selected individuals; and is the average of the initial population.
To compare the efficiency of the different multivariate methods and strategies, in the identification and selection of genetically superior individuals, the selection coincidence coefficients (CC) were estimated among the 80 individuals selected from the phenotypic, true genetic, and GEBV values, as follows:
where: NS is the number of individuals selected on the basis of the phenotypic value or true genetic value, which were the same selected on the basis of the GEBV; and TN is the total number of selected individuals.
In addition, to compare the different multivariate strategies, the index of the sum of ranks (Mulamba & Mock, 1978MULAMBA, N.N.; MOCK, J.J. Improvement of yield potential of the ETO Blanco maize (Zea mays L.) population by breeding for plant traits [Mexico]. Egyptian Journal of Genetics and Cytology, v.7, p.40-57, 1978.) was applied in the matrices of phenotypic values (MMp) and true genetic values (MMg) considering the four traits. All calculations used for comparison between the different evaluated methodologies were estimated considering the average of the 10 simulated populations, for the four traits with different heritabilities.
Results and Discussion
The results showed that the total gains, when performing the phenotypic selection, are lower than the maximum possible gains to be achieved considering the true genetic values, being even smaller for traits with lower heritabilities (Table 1). When selecting individuals with the lowest true genetic values, it was possible to achieve high negative direct gain with the selection for C2; however, the indirect selection was impaired, which resulted in indirect negative gains for the other traits as well.
Direct and indirect selection gains estimates based on individuals’ phenotypic values and true genetic values.
The results suggest the superiority of the GWS methods (Table 2), in comparison with the phenotypic selection (Table 1), since the direct and total gains – obtained when selecting the 80 individuals with the highest GEBVs – were higher than those obtained with the phenotypic selection and close to the maximum possible genetic gains to be achieved with the selection. However, these results indicate that the MPLS method is efficient only for traits with the highest heritability, since the direct and total gains obtained for the lowest heritability trait (C1) are close to the selection based on the phenotypic value of the individuals (Table 1), which does not justify its application in these cases.
Direct and indirect selection gains estimated in true genetic values, which were based on individuals ranked in decreasing order of genomic breeding values (GEBVs) obtained by the random regression best linear unbiased predictor (RRBLUP) and multivariate partial least square (MPLS) methods.
Hence, this highlights the importance of searching for accurate tools to maximize selection gains in breeding programs. In this sense, GWS stands out for its recognized efficiency in the selection of low heritability traits, and for allowing of more selection cycles per unit of time, resulting in greater genetic gains than that by phenotypic selection (Crossa et al., 2017CROSSA, J.; PÉREZ-RODRÍGUEZ, P.; CUEVAS, J.; MONTESINOS-LÓPEZ, O.; JARQUÍN, D.; DE LOS CAMPOS, G.; BURGUEÑO, J.; GONZÁLEZ-CAMACHO, J.M.; PÉREZ-ELIZALDE, S.; BEYENE, Y.; DREISIGACKER, S.; SINGH, R.; ZHANG, X.; GOWDA, M.; ROORKIWAL, M.; RUTKOSKI, J.; VARSHNEY, R.K. Genomic selection in plant breeding: methods, models, and perspectives. Trends in Plant Science, v.22, p.961-975, 2017. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tplants.2017.08.011.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tplants.2017.0...
; Fernandes et al., 2018FERNANDES, S.B.; DIAS, K.O.G.; FERREIRA, D.F.; BROWN, P.J. Efficiency of multi-trait, indirect, and trait-assisted genomic selection for improvement of biomass sorghum. Theoretical and Applied Genetics, v.131, p.747-755, 2018. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00122-017-3033-y.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00122-017-3033-...
; Voss-Fels et al., 2019VOSS-FELS, K.P.; COOPER, M.; HAYES, B.J. Accelerating crop genetic gains with genomic selection. Theoretical and Applied Genetics, v.132, p.669-686, 2019. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00122-018-3270-8.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00122-018-3270-...
; Budhlakoti et al., 2022BUDHLAKOTI, N.; KUSHWAHA, A.K.; RAI, A.; CHATURVEDI, K.K.; KUMAR, A.; PRADHAN, A.K.; KUMAR, U.; KUMAR, R.R.; JULIANA, P.; MISHRA, D.C.; KUMAR, S. Genomic selection: a tool for accelerating the efficiency of Molecular Breeding for Development of Climate-Resilient Crops. Frontiers in Genetics, v.13, 2022. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3389/fgene.2022.832153.
https://doi.org/10.3389/fgene.2022.83215...
).
In the GWS, GEBVs are used to classify and select genetically superior individuals. In the present study, the superiority of the GWS methods was observed in comparison to the direct and indirect gains provided by the phenotypic selection. Fernandes et al. (2018)FERNANDES, S.B.; DIAS, K.O.G.; FERREIRA, D.F.; BROWN, P.J. Efficiency of multi-trait, indirect, and trait-assisted genomic selection for improvement of biomass sorghum. Theoretical and Applied Genetics, v.131, p.747-755, 2018. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00122-017-3033-y.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00122-017-3033-...
compared the efficiency of several GWS strategies to increase the prediction accuracy of a main trait, using information from correlated traits; these authors verified the higher efficiency of indirect GWS in comparison with the phenotypic selection, and they concluded that by using an easy-to-measure trait in the early stage of the plant, with high heritability and correlated to a main trait, it is possible to obtain a reduction of the time per cycle and, consequently, the reduction of production costs, corroborating what is recommended by Meuwinssen et al. (2001) and Anilkumar et al. (2022)ANILKUMAR, C.; SUNITHA, N.C.; HARIKRISHNA; DEVATE, N.B.; RAMESH, S. Advances in integrated genomic selection for rapid genetic gain in crop improvement: a review. Planta, 256, art.87, 2022. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00425-022-03996-y.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00425-022-03996...
.
Considering a different direction of selection for trait C2 (Table 2), it was possible to verify that the results for selection gains showed the same pattern observed with direct and indirect selection based on true genetic values, which made the indirect selection unfeasible, as it would result in negative indirect gains. According to Cruz et al. (2012)CRUZ, C.D.; REGAZZI, A.J.; CARNEIRO, P.C.S. Modelos biométricos aplicados ao melhoramento genético. 4.ed. Viçosa: Ed. da UFV, 2012. 514p., the direct selection for certain traits can cause undesirable changes in others, when there are unfavorable correlations that can lead to low performance in secondary traits, so that the improved population may present serious problems and, consequently, the rejection by producers.
The RRBLUP method provided results closer to the maximum possible genetic gains to be achieved, with the selection of the 80 individuals with the lowest GEBVs for the C2 trait, since it is possibly a medium heritability trait. The MPLS method was less efficient and resulted in lower total gains. The MPLS approached the phenotypic selection when considering low heritability traits, suggesting that its application in GWS is justified only for heritability traits greater than 60%. Azevedo et al. (2013)AZEVEDO, C.F.; FONSECA, F.F. e; REZENDE, M.D.V. de; PETERNELLI, L.A.; GUIMARÃES, S.E.F.; LOPES, P.S. Quadrados mínimos parciais uni e multivariado aplicados na seleção genômica para características de carcaça em suínos. Ciencia Rural, v.43, p.1642-1649, 2013. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1590/S0103-84782013000900017.
https://doi.org/10.1590/S0103-8478201300...
found that the MPLS method was 75% less efficient, on average, than the RRBLUP for estimating GEBVs and the effects of markers in the evaluation of pig carcass traits, with different heritabilities.
The strategies to apply the mean to the effects of the markers (IRbmed), the coding and standardization of the phenotypic values, before performing the genomic selection analyses (IndRb), and the application of the index Mulamba & Mock in the GEBVs (MMRb), through the RRBLUP method, provided the highest total gains 51.28% (IRbmed), 50.93% (IndRb), and 50.80% (index of Mulamba & Mock) (Table 3). These results were similar to those obtained by the index of Mulamba & Mock applied to true genetic values (MMg), which provided 51.80% of the total genetic gain.
Estimated selection gains in true genetic values, which were based on individuals ranked in the decreasing order of genomic breeding values (GEBVs) obtained by the selection indices for all traits (same selection direction) ranked in decreasing order of GEBVs for traits C1, C3, and C4, and in ascending order for C2 trait (different selection direction).
The strategy of coding and standardizing the effects of the markers (IRbcp and Iplcp) provided the lowest total genetic gains (20.20% and 14.76%, respectively), in comparison with other proposed multivariate strategies. In addition, this strategy applied to the MPLS method resulted in negative gains for traits with lower heritabilities (−0.08% and −1.27%). Observing the results provided by the strategy of weighting the effects of the markers by the residual variance, considering the same sense of selection for all characteristics, the IRRBLUP and IMPLS indices had a little difference for the selection gain obtained (Table 3). In addition, these indices provided higher gains for the C4 trait (high heritability).
The coding and standardizing of the effects of the markers was the only strategy that provided negative gains in the desired trait (C2). However, it provided low gains for the other traits and the lowest total genetic gains, in comparison to the other selection strategies. Like the first scenario, the effect of the markers via the MPLS was negative (−0.77), in the selection gain obtained for the trait of lower heritability, through the selection of individuals by the GEBVs estimated by the coding and standardizing strategy. In general, none of the selection index strategies were efficient to maximize the gains with the selection in all traits, when considering the scenario with different sense of selection for C2 (Table 3).
According to the theory of genomic selection index defined by Ceron-Rojas et al. (2015)CERON-ROJAS, J.J.; CROSSA, J.; ARIEF, V.N.; BASFORD, K.; RUTKOSKI, J.; JARQUÍN, D.; ALVARADO, G.; BEYENE, Y.; SEMAGN, K.; DELACY, I. A genomic selection index applied to simulated and real data. G3: Genes, Genomes, Genetics, v. 5, p.2155-2164, 2015. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1534/g3.115.019869.
https://doi.org/10.1534/g3.115.019869...
, the strategy of coding and standardizing phenotypic values (IndRb and IndPl) before applying the GWS methods does not apply to the concept, since the genomic selection index is applied to GEBVs. However, to estimate the values of GEBVs, this strategy considered the linear combination of all traits and provided high gains and coincidences in the selection of genetically superior individuals, mainly for the RRBLUP method. According to Fernandes et al. (2018)FERNANDES, S.B.; DIAS, K.O.G.; FERREIRA, D.F.; BROWN, P.J. Efficiency of multi-trait, indirect, and trait-assisted genomic selection for improvement of biomass sorghum. Theoretical and Applied Genetics, v.131, p.747-755, 2018. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s00122-017-3033-y.
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00122-017-3033-...
, when using phenotypic data of correlated traits used in the validation, to estimate the effects of markers and GEBVs, it is possible to achieve substantial increases in genetic accuracy and gain with selection.
The smallest selection coincidences with the individuals selected by the true genetic values (Table 4) were verified for the methods through the strategy of coding and standardizing the effects of the markers (IRbcp and Iplcp), regardless of the trait. These results were lower than the coincidences obtained for the MMp index, suggesting that this strategy is not efficient for the selection of genetically superior individuals, considering the same sense of selection for all evaluated traits.
Selection coincidence analysis of the selected individuals, in decreasing order of estimated genomic breeding values by each selection index, and the individuals selected by the highest true genetic values for the simulated traits C1, C2, C3, and C4.
The strategy of applying the means of marker effects estimated through the RRBLUP (IRbmed) provided the selection of individuals with higher coincidence coefficients with the genetically superior individuals than those obtained by the MMg, for all evaluated traits. The strategies to weight the marker effects by the residual variance (IRRBLUP and IMPLS) showed the greatest coincidences in the selection of genetically superior individuals, when considering the C4 trait (higher heritability), providing 76.75% and 72.13% coincidence coefficients, respectively. However, the coincidence obtained for C2, by the IRRBLUP and IMPLS strategies, were smaller than the coincidences obtained for the MMp index, considering the same trait.
In general, none of the strategies were efficient to select the genetically superior individuals that had the lowest true genetic values for the C2 trait, evidenced by the low coincidences observed for this trait (Table 5). In this scenario, higher coincidences obtained with the individuals selected by the lowest true genetic values (C2) were obtained by the strategy of coding and standardizing the effects of the markers by RRBLUP and MPLS, resulting in 22.13% and 18.88% for the indices IRRBLUP and IMPLS, respectively.
Coincidence of the selected individuals in decreasing order of genomic breeding values for C1, C3, and C4 traits and, in ascending order for C2 trait, estimated by each selection index, and the individuals selected by true genetic values, following the same criteria.
The strategy of weighting the effects of the markers, by the residual variance through RRBLUP and MPLS methods (IRRBLUP and IMPLS), showed the least coincidences in the selection of genetically superior individuals, when considering the C2 trait (Table 5). In this selection scenario, this strategy provided the greatest coincidences when considering the other traits, mainly for the trait of higher heritability (C4). In general, the results provided by the strategy of weighting the effects of the markers by the residual variance, regardless of the GWS method used (IRRBLUP and IMPLS), were little influenced by the change in the selection scenario (Table 4 and Table 5).
Regardless of the scenario, the coincidences of all the proposed indices with the MMg index were greater than its coincidence with the MMp, except when considering the indices based on the coding and standardization of the effects of markers (IRbcp and Iplcp) (Table 6). In general, the lowest coincidences observed among all strategies were for the IRbcp and Iplcp indices. The higher coincidences with the individuals selected by the MMg index were provided by three methods: MMRb, IRbmed, and IndRb. In addition, the coincidence coefficients found between these three strategies (MMRb, IRbmed, and IndRb) were of high magnitude, ranging from 83.13% to 92.38%.
Comparison between the different multivariate strategies, through coincidence analysis, for two selection scenarios(1).
In general, regardless of the scenario evaluated, the coincidences of most of the proposed indices were greater in relation to the MMg index than in relation to the MMp index. This fact indicates a greater efficiency of the indices applied to GWS, in the selection of genetically superior individuals in comparison with the index based only on phenotypic values. Heffner et al. (2011)HEFFNER, E.L.; JANNINK, J.-L.; IWATA, H.; SOUZA, E.; SORRELLS, M.E. Genomic selection accuracy for grain quality traits in biparental wheat populations. Crop Science, v.51, p.2597-2606, 2011. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2135/cropsci2011.05.0253.
https://doi.org/10.2135/cropsci2011.05.0...
also indicated success in the application of selection indices in GWS, in comparison with the selection indices applied to phenotypic data, and concluded that more research on the application of multivariate strategies in GWS is necessary, since one of the main objectives of breeders is the maximization of the total genetic gains with the selection for several traits, simultaneously.
Conclusions
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The application of indices in genomic-wide selection (GWS) methods is an efficient proposal to obtain genetic gains in several traits, simultaneously, and it is promising for the application in plant breeding programs.
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Direct and indirect selection using GWS methods is more efficient than phenotypic selection, especially for traits with lower heritabilities; however, in general, the use of genomic selection indices provides a greater total genetic gains than the direct and indirect selection.
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The coding and standardizing strategy (IRbcp and Iplcp) results in lower total gains and lower selection coincidences than the other proposed indices.
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The indices based on the strategy of weighting the effects of the markers by the residual variance (IRRBLUP and IMPLS) tend to maximize the gains in traits with higher heritabilities.
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The IndRb, IRbmed, and IMMR indices show the highest total genetic gains with the selection and are the ones that came closest to the MMg index.
Acknowledgments
To Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq) and to Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (Capes, Finance Code 001) ), for financial support.
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Publication Dates
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Publication in this collection
25 Oct 2024 -
Date of issue
2024
History
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Received
23 Oct 2023 -
Accepted
20 June 2024