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Pricing R$/USD exchange rate options: a comparison between the Black model and the artificial neural networks model

In this study, a multilayer neural network model was applied to the pricing of R$/USD exchange rate call options traded on the São Paulo Securities, Commodities and Futures Exchange (BM&FBovespa) from January 2004 to December 2007. Based on the actual market prices, the performances of a neural network model and the Black model were compared, using the usual error metrics and statistical tests. Overall, the results showed that the artificial intelligence model outperformed the Black model for the different degrees of moneyness.

artificial neural networks; options pricing; Black model


Departamento de Administração da Faculdade de Economia, Administração e Contabilidade da Universidade de São Paulo Avenida Professor Luciano Gualberto, 908, sala F184, 05508-900 São Paulo / SP Brasil, Tel./Fax 55 11 3818-4002 - São Paulo - SP - Brazil
E-mail: rausp@usp.br