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Uma Nota Sobre Modelos Gravitacionais Aplicados à Exportação de Café de Brasil, Colômbia e Peru

This paper evaluates the determinants of coffee export supply from Brazil, Colombia and Peru. The choice of three countries is justified because they are the most representative in South America in respect to exporting countries. The study time comprises the interval from 2000 to 2013. To meet the objective, explores different methodologies by the gravity model approach. Variables such as: income, price, geographical distance, exchange rate and business freedom index is defined for the analysis. The model shows robust results that go according to economic theory. The explanatory variables show different signs, expected or not, according to each country analyzed in relation to the theory. It is concluded that factors such as geographical distance, price and ease of doing business are determinants in the three countries to explain the offer of coffee.


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