Temporal trend and magnitude of previdenciary benefits for workplace accidents in Brazil

Santos Júnior, Claudio José dos; Fischer, Frida Marina

doi:10.1590/1980-549720240032

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Revista Brasileira de Epidemiologia

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ORIGINAL ARTICLE • Rev. bras. epidemiol. 27 • 2024 • https://doi.org/10.1590/1980-549720240032 copy

Temporal trend and magnitude of previdenciary benefits for workplace accidents in Brazil

Tendência temporal e magnitude dos benefícios previdenciários de natureza acidentária no Brasil

Authorship SCIMAGO INSTITUTIONS RANKINGS

ABSTRACT

Objective:

To analyze the temporal trend and magnitude of national indicators of previdenciary benefits for workplace accidents issued and granted by the Social Security of Brazil.

Methods:

Secondary data from Social Security from 2008 to 2019 were used. The trend and percentage variation of the indicators were estimated through Prais-Winsten generalized linear regression.

Results:

A total of 9,220,372 previdenciary benefits for workplace accidents were issued by the Social Security of Brazil in the period, costing approximately R$ 8.4 billion and representing about 2.0% of the net value of all benefits paid. None of the categories of previdenciary benefits for workplace accidents showed an increasing trend. The highest variation in the benefits granted and issued for workplace accidents occurred in temporary disability benefit (B91), with an annual percentage variation of -54.00% and -29.29%, respectively.

Conclusion:

A reduction in magnitude and an overall decreasing trend were observed in the historical series of national indicators of benefits granted and benefits issued related to workplace accidents in Brazil from 2008 to 2019.

Keywords:
Workplace accidents; Occupational injuries; Workplace accidents registry; Social security; Time series studies

Year	Temporary disability (B91)		Disability retirement (B92)		Death pension (B93)		Accident benefit (B94)
Year	Issued	Granted	Issued	Granted	Issued	Granted	Issued	Granted
2008	170,654	356,336	153,260	7,839	127,985	1,127	272,511	11,538
2009	161,541	329,914	159,766	8,940	126,740	850	275,448	13,472
2010	183,330	327,894	166,339	10,261	125,391	778	281,058	12,655
2011	179,098	319,445	173,759	11,108	123,930	751	288,673	15,068
2012	175,145	305,208	181,599	11,433	122,331	614	295,318	16,012
2013	182,030	304,217	189,161	11,655	120,606	497	304,373	21,563
2014	175,135	279,868	196,175	10,877	118,543	412	312,796	20,883
2015	155,606	196,761	201,124	8,782	116,339	368	317,664	16,399
2016	152,160	228,151	206,171	9,572	114,045	401	322,182	19,055
2017	123,345	195,179	210,877	9,519	111,688	305	326,271	20,253
2018	107,565	202,406	215,092	11,372	108,981	212	332,846	21,281
2019	93,912	195,059	215,252	11,281	106,603	260	339,954	22,852
Average	154,960	270,037	189,048	10,220	118,599	548	305,758	17,586
Total	1,859,521	3,240,438	2,268,575	122,639	1,423,182	6,575	3,669,094	211,031

Year	Temporary disability (B91)		Disability retirement (B92)		Death pension (B93)		Accident benefit (B94)
Year	WABII	WABGI	WABII	WABGI	WABII	WABGI	WABII	WABGI
2008	3.16	6.60	2.84	0.15	2.37	0.02	5.05	0.21
2009	2.89	5.90	2.86	0.16	2.27	0.02	4.93	0.24
2010	3.05	5.45	2.76	0.17	2.08	0.01	4.67	0.21
2011	2.79	4.98	2.71	0.17	1.93	0.01	4.50	0.24
2012	2.60	4.54	2.70	0.17	1.82	0.01	4.39	0.24
2013	2.61	4.36	2.71	0.17	1.73	0.01	4.36	0.31
2014	2.45	3.92	2.75	0.15	1.66	0.01	4.38	0.29
2015	2.23	2.83	2.89	0.13	1.67	0.01	4.56	0.24
2016	2.28	3.42	3.09	0.14	1.71	0.01	4.83	0.29
2017	1.89	2.99	3.23	0.15	1.71	0.00	5.00	0.31
2018	1.64	3.09	3.28	0.17	1.66	0.00	5.08	0.32
2019	1.40	2.91	3.21	0.17	1.59	0.00	5.07	0.34
Average	2.39	4.17	2.92	0.16	1.83	0.01	4.72	0.27
APC (%)	-29.29	-54.00	8.76	0.16	-14.97	-0.34	0.75	2.51
95CI%	-34.19; -24.03	-62.92; -42.94	-1.40; 19.98	-0,82;0.14	-21.73; -7.64	-0.48; -0.19	-17.44; 22.96	1.44; 3.58
p-value	<0.001	<0.001	0.086	0.731	0.001	<0.001	0.935	<0.001
Trend	↓	↓	↑↓	↑↓	↓	↓	↑↓	↓

Year	RGPS benefits		Temporary disability (B91)		Disability retirement (B92)		Death pension (B93)		Accident benefit (B94)
Year	R$¹ 1values expressed in billions of reais;2values expressed in millions of reais; %: percentage relative to net value of benefits issued by Social Security of Brazil for the year; ↑: increase; ↓: decrease; ↑↓: without linear trend; RGPS: General Social Security System; APC: annual percentage change; CI: confidence interval.	R$²	%	R$²	%	R$²	%	R$²	%
2008	13.82	127.66	0.92	112.28	0.81	82.23	0.60	102.09	0.74
2009	15.48	126.34	0.82	125.78	0.81	87.55	0.57	112.91	0.73
2010	17.43	154.11	0.88	142.23	0.82	93.66	0.54	126.55	0.73
2011	19.08	157.34	0.82	158.17	0.83	97.90	0.51	141.02	0.74
2012	21.62	170.30	0.79	178.00	0.82	104.43	0.48	157.39	0.73
2013	24.29	190.66	0.78	201.20	0.83	111.32	0.46	177.49	0.73
2014	26.68	196.08	0.73	221.77	0.83	116.54	0.44	196.17	0.74
2015	29.24	192.10	0.66	241.45	0.83	121.74	0.42	214.92	0.74
2016	33.88	206.79	0.61	276.61	0.82	132.63	0.39	245.05	0.72
2017	37.00	176.65	0.48	302.15	0.82	138.74	0.37	265.58	0.72
2018	38.44	159.14	0.41	311.40	0.81	138.12	0.36	279.25	0.73
2019	41.09	145.60	0.35	324.10	0.79	141.57	0.34	298.59	0.73
APC (%)			-11.06		-0.35		-5.29		-0.19
95CI%			-14.32; -7.67		-1.26; 0.57		-5.93; -4.65		-0.49;0.10
p-value			<0.001		0.420		<0.001		0.180
Trend			↓		↑↓		↓		↑↓

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[1] CORRESPONDING AUTHOR: Claudio José dos Santos Júnior. Avenida Doutor Arnaldo, 715, Cerqueira César, CEP: 01246-904, São Paulo (SP), Brazil. E-mail: claudiojunior@usp.br