Abstracts
INTRODUCTION:
The analysis of social indicators and health status of parents and children is a preferred way to estimate the potential for social mobility in different societies or different periods in the same society.
OBJECTIVE:
To analyze the evolution of educational and nutritional status of the Brazilian families by an intergenerational approach.
METHODS:
A representative sample of the Brazilian population, consisting of parents (35 to 65 years old) and young adults (20 to 24 years old) obtained from three national surveys NHNS (1989), HBS (2003 and 2009). We performed a descriptive analysis and, for the sons, we calculated the probability of starting college using the multilevel logistic regression with random intercept model.
RESULTS:
The advance of the nutritional status of young people was statistically higher than to their parents (p < 0.005). Social conditions experienced in childhood and family status had great influence on their later school success.
CONCLUSION:
These data indicate improvements in social status controlled by the nutritional status, initiated in the period of 1989 - 2003. Although inequality persists in the country, the family's influence declined in the period 2003 - 2009.
Nutritional status; Educational status; Social inequity; Young adult; Social mobility; Brazil
INTRODUÇÃO:
A análise da evolução dos indicadores sociais e de saúde de pais e filhos é uma das formas preferidas para estimar o potencial de mobilidade social nas diferentes sociedades ou entre diferentes períodos de uma mesma sociedade.
OBJETIVOS:
Analisar a e evolução do estado nutricional e educacional das famílias brasileiras em uma abordagem intergeracional.
MÉTODOS:
Foram utilizadas amostras representativas da população brasileiras, contendo pais (35 a 65 anos de idade) e filhos jovens adultos (20 a 24 anos de idade) obtidos a partir de três pesquisas nacionais PNSN (1989), POFs (2003 e 2009). Realizamos análises descritivas e, para os filhos, calculamos a probabilidade de iniciar o ensino superior por meio de regressão logística com intercepto randômico.
RESULTADOS:
O avanço do estado nutricional dos jovens foi estatisticamente superior ao de seus pais (p < 0,005). As condições sociais experimentadas na infância e o estado social da família foram de grande influência no posterior sucesso escolar do filho.
CONCLUSÃO:
Os dados aqui apresentados indicam avanços no estado social modulado pelo estado nutricional, iniciado no período 1989 - 2003. Apesar de ainda haver persistência da desigualdade a influência familiar diminuiu no período 2003 - 2009.
Estado nutricional; Escolaridade; Iniquidade social; Jovem adulto; Mobilidade social; Brasil
INTRODUCTION
A comparison between social and health conditions experienced in childhood with those achieved in adulthood can provide a basis to estimate late outcomes and changing trends in a given society. The pooled analyses of the progress of social and health indicators - which is a proxy of human capital - is the preferred way to estimate the potential for social mobility in different societies or in different periods in the same society.
The concept of human capital focuses mainly on how much health and education can be aggregated across social strata in a population. Considering the progress of adequacy of height within groups, for example, is a good method to access the improvements in human capital. The theoretical foundation for the use of height as an indicator is that the adequacy in height is related to how much society and families invest in the child on social issues such as education and health11 . Fogel RW. Secular trends in physiological capital: Implications for equity in health care. National Bureau of Economic Research; 2003. , 22 . Case A, Fertig A, Paxson C. The lasting impact of childhood health and circumstance. J Health Econ 2005; 24(2): 365-89.. This theory is justified by the association of height adjustment with favorable socioeconomic conditions, such as greater parental education and this relation could be influenced by several factors such as appropriate neonatal monitoring, good nutrition in early childhood, drug availability and positive changes in lifestyle33 . Victora CG, Adair L, Fall C, Hallal PC, Martorell R, Richter L, et al. Maternal and child undernutrition: consequences for adult health and human capital. The Lancet 2008; 371(9609): 340-57..
In Brazil, epidemiological transition, with nutritional transition, brought mixed changes in health and nutrition indicators. The infant mortality rate decreased by 73.6% from 1980 to 2005, acute diarrheal disease ceased to be the second leading cause of death and their toll became only 4% in 200544 . Ministério da Saúde. Departamento de Análise de Situação de Saúde S de V em S. Saúde Brasil 2008: 20 anos de Sistema Único de Saúde (SUS) no Brasil. Ministério da Saúde Brasília; 2009..
In contrast, non-communicable diseases (NCDs) have become responsible for 72% of deaths in the country in 2007. Although mortality rate attributable to NCDs has decreased by 20% from 1996 to 2007, social inequality remained constant: the poorest regions of the country had the lowest decreases, and additionally they had the highest mortality rates caused by diabetes55 . Schmidt MI, Duncan BB, Menezes AM, Monteiro CA, Barreto SM, Chor D, et al. Chronic non-communicable diseases in Brazil: burden and current challenges. The Lancet 2011; 377(9781): 1949-61.
Secular changes in health and nutrition are often analyzed considering the effects of age-period-cohort. The age effect indicates changes associated with different age groups in terms of typical features of each group, such as biological, social and psychological development, as well as how each group is exposed to the environment66 . Reither EN, Hauser RM, Yang Y. Do birth cohorts matter? Age-period-cohort analyses of the obesity epidemic in the United States. Social Science & Medicine 2009; 69(10): 1439-48.. Period effect is defined as the changes that affect all age groups simultaneously as a function of time, more specifically between time intervals77 . Yang Y. Trends in US adult chronic disease mortality, 1960-1999: age, period, and cohort variations. Demography 2008; 45(2): 387-416.. Finally, the cohort effect is by definition the variation in the individual risk to have a certain disease or the risk of death according to their year of birth, which may coincide with the population exposure to risk factors over time88 . Keyes KM, Utz RL, Robinson W, Li G. What is a cohort effect? Comparison of three statistical methods for modeling cohort effects in obesity prevalence in the United States, 1971-2006. Social Science & Medicine 2010; 70(7): 1100-8..
So far, the studies conducted on social mobility in Brazil only portray the changes that happened in the Brazilian society. It is important to add to this scenario the social and temporal relationships between individuals and their group. This approach allows the analysis of an intergenerational advancement of educational and nutritional status of Brazilian families. In this context, we analyzed, in the present study, the evolution of Brazilian families with young people, regarding the relationship between education and nutritional indicators, adjusted by time and age, based on three national surveys.
METHODS
SAMPLE
A representative sample of the Brazilian population, consisting of parents (35 to 65
years old) and young adults (20 to 24 years old) of both sexes was obtained from
three national surveys: from PNSN 1989 (acronym in Portuguese to the National
Healthand Nutrition Survey); POF 2002/2003 (acronym in Portuguese to the Household
Budget Survey) and POF 2008/2009. All surveys have probabilistic samples with
national coverage, selected in multiple stages, and were conducted by the Brazilian
Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE). Detailed description of these surveys,
including sampling strategies, methods and information collected, can be found
elsewhere99 . Instituto Nacional de Alimentação e Nutrição Brasília. Pesquisa
Nacional sobre Saúde e Nutrição: perfil de crescimento da população brasileira de 0 a
25 anos. Instituto Nacional de Alimentação e Nutrição: Brasília (DF);
1990.
10 . Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística Pesquisa de orçamentos
familiares 2002-2003: primeiros resultados; Brasil e grandes regiões e unidades da
Federação. IBGE; 2004.
-
1111 . Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística. Pesquisa de
Orçamentos Familiares 2008-2009: Antropometria e estado nutricional de crianças,
adolescentes e adultos no Brasil. IBGE; 2010..
Families ties were recreated from two variables: the household identifier number and individual's relationship with reference to the head of family, in this article named "parent". We grouped the eldest children (named child) within the above-cited range of age. Child and parent composed our analytical group. The study variables were: height (m), education (years of study), per capita income, age (years), sex and place of residence (urban and rural) of the individual.
We standardized the height for all individuals below 19 years expressing it in z-score (Z), according to the current age values established by the World Health Organization. The height of individuals aging 19 or more was standardized using values of 19 years in references1212 . World Health Organization. WHO Expert Committee on physical status: the use and interpretation of anthropometry: report of a WHO Expert Committee. WHO; 1995.. Then, the educational status and nutritional status of the group of parents and sons was classified in the following levels:
a) Educational status: Elementary (E1: 0 to 8 years), Medium (E2: 9 to 11 years) College (E3: 12 or above years).
b) Nutritional status: Below-1Z (N-); from -1Z to +1 Z (Nm); Above +1Z (N +).
Household income was, firstly, updated to current values in January 2009, including currency conversion to Brazilian Real using the National Consumer Price Indexa.
The second step was to calculate the average income in order to allow this characteristic to become a second level variable in the multilevel model, presented in the next section (data analysis), without detriment on the analysis considering that was a population data.
DATA ANALYSIS
We have compared the trajectory of parent-child over decades, calculating mean values or Odds for main characteristics. We focused on nutritional and social status.
For child, we estimated the probability of starting college in logistic regression with a random intercept model. The outcome "University" was classified as "1" if the young had at least started college and "0" when they hadn't.
To model social influence, we have chosen parental education to characterize the second level. First we set parental educational status, defined as above, to organize contextual randomization. Besides that, we calculated the mean per capita household income for each educational parental strata and set it as contextual determinant too. Thus, the probability of reaching university was influenced, in a fixed way, by the child's height, age, survey year, geographic area, and, in a random way, by parental educational status and per capita household income.
The first level of the model included individual characteristics of the offspring. So, age and nutritional status of the offspring, place of residence and period were added to the model as individual variables. The conceptual model is presented in Figure 1.
Crude and adjusted probabilities to reach college education by son's nutritional status, Brazil, 1989, 2003, 2009.
All analyses were performed using Stata SE11.2, considering the effects of complex sample in the descriptive analysis.
RESULTS
Changes between the periods 1989, 2003 and 2009 in the characteristics of Brazilian families with young adults are presented in Table1. Over the past 20 years, male members prevailed as head of family in households; however, there was an increase of approximately 50% of women in this position from 1989 to 2009.
It can be highlighted from these descriptive analyses that the advance of child's nutritional status was statistically higher than that of their parents: child average height difference in paired parent-offspring sample increased by 0.33 Z from 1989 to 2003 and by 0.11Z in the period 2003 - 2009 (p < 0.05 in both cases).
Concerning the educational status, the distance between parents and offspring at the higher education remained unchanged (Table 1). Unequal progress was observed for parents and offspring in years of schooling gain. In the first period (1989 to 2003), offspring increased by 0.23 on average each year against 0.07 for the parents. In the second period (2003 to 2009), the average gain in years of school was almost the same for the offspring: 0.22 each year. In contrast, for the parents, the increase in schooling jumped to 0.33 each year. Comparison by gender of the child revealed no difference in average years of study (data not shown).
Turning now to the raw description of the influence of parent's educational status on the offspring's achievement of higher education, data showed that the prevalence ratio of (parentsE3)/(parentsE1) for the probability of the child being at university was 4.7 in 1989, rose to 12.2 in 2003 and dropped to 5.7 in 2009.
When contextual level was taken into account, we considered child living conditions, including differences within and between the educational levels of parents. The probability of young adults reaching higher education changed substantially over the period analyzed. The average risk difference to begin the university from 2003 to 2009 was 0.52 (Table 2).
It is noteworthy that the social conditions experienced in childhood, in this case represented by the nutritional status of the child, were of great influence on their later school success. Not only the medium group (Nm) had better outcomes than those who had experienced the lower conditions (N-), but also those who have reached higher nutritional status (N+) got even odds 1.6 times greater than Nm.
Families in urban areas which had a male head of family had odds of 2.2 (p < 0.05) to have children with higher education. It is observed that the variance of the second level was strongly reduced when the adjustment for family income was made, and still practically sold out the coefficient of intraclass correlation. This shows that the model could explain individual influences, when discounting the environmental influences (Table 2).
The comparison of the crude situation of young with the predicted model showed that, in the second case, where no influence of family status was computed, socially deprived young would have had a greater chance, between 1989 and 2003, to achieve higher education; the most privileged young would advance a little less in the same year (Graph 1). It was possible to observe that, in 2009, the distance between observed and expected values were smaller, which suggests lesser social determination of the family in the last six years.
DISCUSSION
Based on three national surveys, the analysis showed the intergenerational evolution of social and nutrition indicators over twenty years in Brazil. Data provided by the National Institute of Applied Economic Researchb have already shown an increase in the schooling level (years of study) of the Brazilian population; however, these data did not prove that the evolution of this index was associated with the reduction of inequalities, especially intergenerational inequalities.
Schooling is considered as a structural determinant in the group of social determinants
of health (SDH), sufficient to generating unequal socioeconomic positions. The SDH are
also causes of inequities in health and, therefore, the public policies should be
concentrated on acting over them in order to reduce inequities1313 . World Health Organization. Commission on Social Determinants of
Health. A Conceptual Framework for Action on the Social Determinants of Health. Draft
[Internet]. 2007. Available from:
www.who.int/social_determinants/resources/csdh_framework_action_05_07.pdf
www.who.int/social_determinants/resource...
.
The improvement in schooling observed suggests the construction of social capital between the periods analyzed, and probably the greatest possibility of social mobility. Despite this progress, it is known that in 1996, for example, Brazil was still among the worst ratings in Latin America regarding the degree of intergenerational persistence (equal to 0.70) in the education category1414 . Behrman JR, Gaviria A, Székely M, Birdsall N, Galiani S. Intergenerational Mobility in Latin America [with Comments]. Economia 2001; 2(1): 1-44..
In Brazil, university studies are still delayed. Given that the ideal age to start higher education would be soon after the end of the second degree (between 17 and 19 years), this study found that the higher the age in the studied age group, the greater the chances of young adults starting college.
Inequalities in the access to higher education for families living in rural areas or with female heads of family still persist, considering that families in opposite conditions, namely living in urban areas with a male household head, had about two times more chances of starting a university course.
The causal relationship between health and social position has been studied. Cohort studies in Guatemala, India, South Africa, Philippines and Brazil allowed to associate child and maternal malnutrition, expressed by inadequacies in anthropometric indexes, with losses in the son's human capital in adulthood, particularly short stature, inadequate school achievement, low income or purchase of goods, high BMI, high concentration of blood glucose and possibly type 2 diabetes, high blood pressure and low weight at birth of offspring33 . Victora CG, Adair L, Fall C, Hallal PC, Martorell R, Richter L, et al. Maternal and child undernutrition: consequences for adult health and human capital. The Lancet 2008; 371(9609): 340-57..
There are two moments of acceleration in height gain during the linear growth period: early childhood and adolescence. Boys reach 49% and girls 52% of final height at 2 years old, and 52% and 67% respectively at 5 years old; in adolescence, individuals will reach about 20% of the height to achieve1515 . Group WMGRS, de Onis M. WHO Child Growth Standards based on length/height, weight and age. Acta Paediatrica 2006; 95: 76-85.. So, a person with a low height at the end of their youth is possibly one of those who persistently had bad living conditions for much of his childhood.
Child nutrition in Brazil has already been evaluated in another study in a more direct way: based on national studies, between 1996 and 2007, Monteiro et al.1616 . Lima ALL, Silva ACF, Konno SC, Conde WL, Benicio MHDA, Monteiro CA. Causes of the accelerated decline in child undernutrition in Northeastern Brazil (1986-1996-2006). Rev Saúde Pública 2010; 44(1): 17-27. used indicators height-for-age and weight-for-height. They found a reduction of malnutrition of about 50% in this period as a consequence of a raising in maternal education level (responsible for the largest share of this reduction - 25.7%), followed by improved purchasing power, health care and sanitation. When these data were analyzed for the northeast region, which had twice the frequency of malnutrition higher than other regions, data showed that the mother's education was responsible for a 10% decline in the prevalence of malnutrition between 1986 and 19961616 . Lima ALL, Silva ACF, Konno SC, Conde WL, Benicio MHDA, Monteiro CA. Causes of the accelerated decline in child undernutrition in Northeastern Brazil (1986-1996-2006). Rev Saúde Pública 2010; 44(1): 17-27. .
These data indicate that social and nutritional status improvements, which initiated in the period 1974-2003 for the population of Brazilian youngers and adults, persisted in the following years and reached the child population, the most vulnerable to unfavorable conditions.
Despite the maintenance of this scenario, there was a possibility of reducing inequality; this is seen by the distance between the families of worse and better social status: it decreases again from 2003 to 2009.
Political programs implemented in 2003-2009, such as the "Bolsa Família" (Family Allowance), which operates in income redistribution, and "PROUNI" (acronym in Portuguese for Program University for All), which aims to expand the access to university degrees, may have influenced the overall increase in the range of higher education. However, variations in economic and political factors that occurred about two decades before the study also contributed to our findings, since it is a capital built from childhood of these young people. Thus, part of the persistent inequality and of immobility interfamily nowadays are understandable, due to the absence, until recently, of policies and programs to encourage income redistribution.
If we take age-period-cohort effects analyzed, we can see the adding contribution to the recent scenario as well. Young groups increased probability to start university. When partitioned, period effect in 2003-2009 was two times higher than prior period, even when we consider 6 versus 14 years, especially due to the public policies aimed at university access. These better results than those found in cohorts come from an expansion in secondary school degree. It all contributes with virtuous sum of effect we have detected.
A limitation of this study is that its findings are based on the premise of correct representation of cohorts in each survey. Nevertheless, the improvement in the paired parent-offspring condition, found either through more traditional methods of study or through this new model, indicates an accumulation of human capital related to education and health that enables and facilitates social advancement from generation to generation in a family. In general, improvements in nutritional status can be obtained with less economic and social inputs in a shorter time. Accumulation of human capital related to schooling demand broader investments and broader time scale.
The effects of changes in political, economic and social contexts which happened during the last twenty years on social and health indicators of young adults are not yet completely understood. However, it was possible to observe a favorable scenario in Brazil, with a relative advance in child nutrition and enrollments in higher education. It is important to further examine these questions in the light of some aspects identified in this study, particularly the determinants of differentiation observed in the development of young Brazilians.
REFERENCES
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1Fogel RW. Secular trends in physiological capital: Implications for equity in health care. National Bureau of Economic Research; 2003.
-
2Case A, Fertig A, Paxson C. The lasting impact of childhood health and circumstance. J Health Econ 2005; 24(2): 365-89.
-
3Victora CG, Adair L, Fall C, Hallal PC, Martorell R, Richter L, et al. Maternal and child undernutrition: consequences for adult health and human capital. The Lancet 2008; 371(9609): 340-57.
-
4Ministério da Saúde. Departamento de Análise de Situação de Saúde S de V em S. Saúde Brasil 2008: 20 anos de Sistema Único de Saúde (SUS) no Brasil. Ministério da Saúde Brasília; 2009.
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5Schmidt MI, Duncan BB, Menezes AM, Monteiro CA, Barreto SM, Chor D, et al. Chronic non-communicable diseases in Brazil: burden and current challenges. The Lancet 2011; 377(9781): 1949-61
-
6Reither EN, Hauser RM, Yang Y. Do birth cohorts matter? Age-period-cohort analyses of the obesity epidemic in the United States. Social Science & Medicine 2009; 69(10): 1439-48.
-
7Yang Y. Trends in US adult chronic disease mortality, 1960-1999: age, period, and cohort variations. Demography 2008; 45(2): 387-416.
-
8Keyes KM, Utz RL, Robinson W, Li G. What is a cohort effect? Comparison of three statistical methods for modeling cohort effects in obesity prevalence in the United States, 1971-2006. Social Science & Medicine 2010; 70(7): 1100-8.
-
9Instituto Nacional de Alimentação e Nutrição Brasília. Pesquisa Nacional sobre Saúde e Nutrição: perfil de crescimento da população brasileira de 0 a 25 anos. Instituto Nacional de Alimentação e Nutrição: Brasília (DF); 1990.
-
10Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística Pesquisa de orçamentos familiares 2002-2003: primeiros resultados; Brasil e grandes regiões e unidades da Federação. IBGE; 2004.
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11Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística. Pesquisa de Orçamentos Familiares 2008-2009: Antropometria e estado nutricional de crianças, adolescentes e adultos no Brasil. IBGE; 2010.
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12World Health Organization. WHO Expert Committee on physical status: the use and interpretation of anthropometry: report of a WHO Expert Committee. WHO; 1995.
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13World Health Organization. Commission on Social Determinants of Health. A Conceptual Framework for Action on the Social Determinants of Health. Draft [Internet]. 2007. Available from: www.who.int/social_determinants/resources/csdh_framework_action_05_07.pdf
» www.who.int/social_determinants/resources/csdh_framework_action_05_07.pdf -
14Behrman JR, Gaviria A, Székely M, Birdsall N, Galiani S. Intergenerational Mobility in Latin America [with Comments]. Economia 2001; 2(1): 1-44.
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15Group WMGRS, de Onis M. WHO Child Growth Standards based on length/height, weight and age. Acta Paediatrica 2006; 95: 76-85.
-
16Lima ALL, Silva ACF, Konno SC, Conde WL, Benicio MHDA, Monteiro CA. Causes of the accelerated decline in child undernutrition in Northeastern Brazil (1986-1996-2006). Rev Saúde Pública 2010; 44(1): 17-27.
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Financing source: São Paulo Research Foundation (FAPESP), process n. 2008/02587-0. LG Baraldi was supported with master's scholarship.
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a
Available at www.bcb.gov.br
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b
Available at: www.ipeadata.gov.br
Publication Dates
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Publication in this collection
2014
History
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Received
03 May 2012 -
Reviewed
11 Mar 2013 -
Accepted
12 June 2013