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Regional drought in the southern of South America: physical aspects

Seca regional no sul da América do Sul: aspectos físicos

From the indices of monthly and annual climatic drought in six regions in southern South America and their associations with seventeen predictors, the probable physical causes of droughts are analyzed. These indices are used in operational climate monitoring and describe the atmospheric temperature and sea surface temperature (SST) near South America. Subtropical anticyclone activity over both coasts of South America is one of the main predictors, together with its interaction with the continental depression and SST at the coast of Brazil. The highest predictability concentrates in November-December-May and the lowest in March, June and August. In the sub regional scale, the main predictors respond to atmospheric pressure anomalies in the Atlantic Ocean for Argentinean Northwest (NOA), SST in the Brazilian coast for Argentinean Northeast (NEA), anticyclonic conditions over the Pacific and Atlantic for the Central West (CO), the latter and their interaction with the continental depression for Humid Pampa (PH), anticyclonic activity over the Pacific for the Patagonia (PAT) and trans cordillera circulation for Central Chile and Comahue (CHI).


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