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Influence of the meteorological variables on the incidence of primness, meningite and pneumonia at João Pessoa-PB

It was used of temperature data and relative humidity of the air and precipitation to the period from 1992 to 2000, of João Pessoa (07º07’S; 34º53W;05m) aiming at identifying the influence of these meteorological elements in the incidence of Primness, meningitis and pneumonia. Initially, it determined the coefficient of monthly incidence goes 10.000 in habitants, relating them with: average temperature (T), maximum (Tx), minimum (Tn), relative humidity (UR) and precipitation (P). It was used the precipitation, in total monthly, temperatures, low, average and maximum and relative humidity was used in monthly averages. The climatic variations were observed, monthly and go seasons. It was made analysis of simple regression and, the multiple lineal regression with the meteorological elements in the model, goes to know the maximum that these explain on the incidence of pathologies. Was made it uses of the method of multiple regression" stepwise ". The test of hypotheses, F, with level of the significance of 5% was influence of the meteorological elements in the incidence of primness, meningitis and pneumonia in João Pessoa with R2 0,34, 0,25 and 0,23, respectably. The meteorological elements predictors to incidence of the disease in João Pessoa are maximum temperature and precipitation.

correlation; incidence; epidemic


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