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Pedestrian mortality in road traffic accidents in Brazil: time trend analysis, 1996-2015* * Article based on the Master’s Degree thesis by Camila Mariano Fernandes, entitled ‘Pedestrian mortality in Brazil: time trend analysis, 1996-2015’, defended at the Postgraduate Program in Public Health, Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina, in August 2017.

Abstract

Objective:

to analyze the mortality coefficient trend for road traffic accidents involving pedestrians in Brazil, by sex, age range and macro-region, between 1996 and 2015.

Methods:

this was an ecological time series study using data from the Ministry of Health’s Mortality Information System (SIM); Prais-Winstein generalized linear regression was used to calculate annual percentage change.

Results:

pedestrian deaths corresponded to 26.5% of deaths due to road traffic accidents; mortality among pedestrians decreased 63.2% in the country as a whole, with the standardized coefficient varying between 8.9 to 3.3 per 100,000 inhabitants, although the decrease in the country’s North and the Northeast regions was slower than the national average; being run over was significantly higher among men and the elderly.

Conclusion:

although mortality among pedestrians is decreasing in all regions of the country, current figures still account for a large part of road traffic mortality.

Keywords:
Accidents, Traffic; Pedestrians; Mortality; Time Series Studies

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