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The Predictive Value of the Inflammatory Prognostic Index for Detecting No-Reflow in ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction Patients

Abstract

Background:

No-reflow (NR) is characterized by an acute reduction in coronary flow that is not accompanied by coronary spasm, thrombosis, or dissection. Inflammatory prognostic index (IPI) is a novel marker that was reported to have a prognostic role in cancer patients and is calculated by neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR) multiplied by C-reactive protein/albumin ratio.

Objective:

We aimed to investigate the relationship between IPI and NR in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients undergoing primary percutaneous coronary intervention (pPCI).

Methods:

A total of 1541 patients were enrolled in this study (178 with NR and 1363 with reflow). Lasso panelized shrinkage was used for variable selection. A nomogram was created based on IPI for detecting the risk of NR development. Internal validation with Bootstrap resampling was used for model reproducibility. A two-sided p-value <0.05 was accepted as a significance level for statistical analyses.

Results:

IPI was higher in patients with NR than in patients with reflow. IPI was non-linearly associated with NR. IPI had a higher discriminative ability than the systemic immune-inflammation index, NLR, and CRP/albumin ratio. Adding IPI to the baseline multivariable logistic regression model improved the discrimination and net-clinical benefit effect of the model for detecting NR patients, and IPI was the most prominent variable in the full model. A nomogram was created based on IPI to predict the risk of NR. Bootstrap internal validation of nomogram showed a good calibration and discrimination ability.

Conclusion:

This is the first study that shows the association of IPI with NR in STEMI patients who undergo pPCI.

Keywords:
No-Reflow Phenomenon; ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction; Percutaneous Coronary Intervention; Nomograms

Resumo

Fundamento:

O no-reflow (NR) é caracterizado por uma redução aguda no fluxo coronário que não é acompanhada por espasmo coronário, trombose ou dissecção. O índice prognóstico inflamatório (IPI) é um novo marcador que foi relatado como tendo um papel prognóstico em pacientes com câncer e é calculado pela razão neutrófilos/linfócitos (NLR) multiplicada pela razão proteína C reativa/albumina.

Objetivo:

Nosso objetivo foi investigar a relação entre IPI e NR em pacientes com infarto do miocárdio com supradesnivelamento do segmento ST (IAMCSST) submetidos a intervenção coronária percutânea primária (ICPp).

Métodos:

Um total de 1.541 pacientes foram incluídos neste estudo (178 com NR e 1.363 com refluxo). A regressão penalizada LASSO (Least Absolute Shrinkage and Select Operator) foi usada para seleção de variáveis. Foi criado um nomograma baseado no IPI para detecção do risco de desenvolvimento de NR. A validação interna com reamostragem Bootstrap foi utilizada para reprodutibilidade do modelo. Um valor de p bilateral <0,05 foi aceito como nível de significância para análises estatísticas.

Resultados:

O IPI foi maior em pacientes com NR do que em pacientes com refluxo. O IPI esteve associado de forma não linear com a NR. O IPI apresentou maior capacidade discriminativa do que o índice de imunoinflamação sistêmica, NLR e relação PCR/albumina. A adição do IPI ao modelo de regressão logística multivariável de base melhorou a discriminação e o efeito do benefício clínico líquido do modelo para detecção de pacientes com NR, e o IPI foi a variável mais proeminente no modelo completo. Foi criado um nomograma baseado no IPI para prever o risco de NR. A validação interna do nomograma Bootstrap mostrou uma boa capacidade de calibração e discriminação.

Conclusão:

Este é o primeiro estudo que mostra a associação de IPI com NR em pacientes com IAMCSST submetidos a ICPp.

Palavras-chave:
Fenômeno de não Refluxo; Infarto do Miocárdio com Elevação do Segmento ST; Intervenção Coronária Percutânea Primária; Nomograma

Introduction

Currently, the recommended reperfusion modality in patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) is primary percutaneous coronary intervention (pPCI) (STEMI).11 Terkelsen CJ, Christiansen EH, Sørensen JT, Kristensen SD, Lassen JF, Thuesen L, et al. Primary PCI as the Preferred Reperfusion Therapy in STEMI: it is a Matter of Time. Heart. 2009;95(5):362-9. doi: 10.1136/hrt.2007.139493.
https://doi.org/10.1136/hrt.2007.139493...
However, despite the fact that pPCI successfully restores coronary flow in the infarct-related artery (IRA) in the majority of STEMI patients, roughly 5 to as high as 15% of such patients do not achieve an adequate myocardial flow and reperfusion, which is referred to as the no-reflow (NR) phenomenon.22 Durante A, Camici PG. Novel Insights Into an "Old" Phenomenon: The no Reflow. Int J Cardiol. 2015;187:273-80. doi: 10.1016/j.ijcard.2015.03.359.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijcard.2015.03...
In the current literature, there are some studies demonstrating the possible risk factors of NR, which include total ischemic area, prolonged ischemic time, hypertension, smoking, dyslipidemia, diabetes mellitus (DM), and enhanced inflammatory status.22 Durante A, Camici PG. Novel Insights Into an "Old" Phenomenon: The no Reflow. Int J Cardiol. 2015;187:273-80. doi: 10.1016/j.ijcard.2015.03.359.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijcard.2015.03...
The probable underlying pathogenesis of NR includes endothelial dysfunction, microvascular blockage driven by distal microvascular spasm and/or microembolization, and inflammation.33 Niccoli G, Burzotta F, Galiuto L, Crea F. Myocardial No-Reflow in Humans. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2009;54(4):281-92. doi: 10.1016/j.jacc.2009.03.054.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jacc.2009.03.0...

The inflammation is recognized as the main cause of NR phenomenon, and several inflammatory markers have been proposed for the prediction of NR. Systemic immune-inflammation index (SII),44 Esenboğa K, Kurtul A, Yamantürk YY, Tan TS, Tutar DE. Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index Predicts No-Reflow Phenomenon after Primary Percutaneous Coronary Intervention. Acta Cardiol. 2022;77(1):59-65. doi: 10.1080/00015385.2021.1884786.
https://doi.org/10.1080/00015385.2021.18...
uric acid/albumin ratio,55 Çınar T, Şaylık F, Hayıroğlu Mİ, Asal S, Selçuk M, Çiçek V, et al. The Association of Serum Uric Acid/Albumin Ratio with No-Reflow in Patients with ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction. Angiology. 2023;74(4):381-6. doi: 10.1177/00033197221110700.
https://doi.org/10.1177/0003319722111070...
C-reactive protein (CRP)/albumin ratio (CAR),66 Karabağ Y, Çağdaş M, Rencuzogullari I, Karakoyun S, Artaç İ, İliş D, et al. Usefulness of the C-Reactive Protein/Albumin Ratio for Predicting No-Reflow in ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction Treated with Primary Percutaneous Coronary Intervention. Eur J Clin Invest. 2018;48(6):e12928. doi: 10.1111/eci.12928.
https://doi.org/10.1111/eci.12928...
and neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio77 Wagdy S, Sobhy M, Loutfi M. Neutrophil/Lymphocyte Ratio as a Predictor of In-Hospital Major Adverse Cardiac Events, New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation, and No-Reflow Phenomenon in Patients with ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction. Clin Med Insights Cardiol. 2016;10:19-22. doi: 10.4137/CMC.S35555.
https://doi.org/10.4137/CMC.S35555...
are some of the reported predictors in the literature. Inflammation prognostic index (IPI) has emerged as a new inflammatory marker and is gained by IPI=NLRxCAR. A recent study has demonstrated that the predictive capability of IPI might be better than NLR and CAR alone. Because the higher levels of NLR and CAR are associated with NR development, we consider that the combination of both parameters, the IPI, might detect the NR more accurately than either parameter alone.66 Karabağ Y, Çağdaş M, Rencuzogullari I, Karakoyun S, Artaç İ, İliş D, et al. Usefulness of the C-Reactive Protein/Albumin Ratio for Predicting No-Reflow in ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction Treated with Primary Percutaneous Coronary Intervention. Eur J Clin Invest. 2018;48(6):e12928. doi: 10.1111/eci.12928.
https://doi.org/10.1111/eci.12928...
,77 Wagdy S, Sobhy M, Loutfi M. Neutrophil/Lymphocyte Ratio as a Predictor of In-Hospital Major Adverse Cardiac Events, New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation, and No-Reflow Phenomenon in Patients with ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction. Clin Med Insights Cardiol. 2016;10:19-22. doi: 10.4137/CMC.S35555.
https://doi.org/10.4137/CMC.S35555...
Thus, we aimed to investigate the association of IPI with NR in this study.

Material and Methods

This retrospective, cross-sectional study was conducted on STEMI patients who were admitted to the cardiology clinic between March 2013 and March 2022. STEMI diagnosis was made based on recent guidelines.88 Ibanez B, James S, Agewall S, Antunes MJ, Bucciarelli-Ducci C, Bueno H, et al. 2017 ESC Guidelines for the Management of Acute Myocardial Infarction in Patients Presenting with ST-Segment Elevation: the Task Force for the Management of Acute Myocardial Infarction in Patients Presenting with ST-Segment Elevation of the European Society of Cardiology (ESC). Eur Heart J. 2018;39(2):119-77. doi: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehx393.
https://doi.org/10.1093/eurheartj/ehx393...
The exclusion criteria were as follows: receiving thrombolytic therapy, severe hepatic or renal disease, active infection, chronic autoimmune disease, hematological disease, malignancies, taking drugs that might affect albumin levels, and malnutrition. The study was approved by the local ethics committee of our institution and was conducted according to the Helsinki Declaration.

At the time of admission, peripheral veins were used to obtain blood samples for each patient. The biochemical parameters were examined using conventional methods, whereas the hematologic parameters were assessed using a hematology analyzer (Beckman Coulter, town, FL, USA). Prior to pPCI, albumin concentrations were measured using the Bromocresol Green method. IPI was calculated based on the formula IPI=NLRxCAR.

Coronary angiography and pPCI

Using either a radial or femoral approach, a qualified operator performed conventional coronary angiography (CAG). Prior to CAG, all patients received a loading dose of P2Y12 inhibitors and 300 mg of acetylsalicylic acid. The most recent European Society of Cardiology STEMI guideline was followed during the pPCI operations.88 Ibanez B, James S, Agewall S, Antunes MJ, Bucciarelli-Ducci C, Bueno H, et al. 2017 ESC Guidelines for the Management of Acute Myocardial Infarction in Patients Presenting with ST-Segment Elevation: the Task Force for the Management of Acute Myocardial Infarction in Patients Presenting with ST-Segment Elevation of the European Society of Cardiology (ESC). Eur Heart J. 2018;39(2):119-77. doi: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehx393.
https://doi.org/10.1093/eurheartj/ehx393...
Two experienced interventional specialists, who were unaware of the patients’ data, graded the TIMI flow in the infract-related artery before and after pPCI. If there was a disagreement between them, the opinion of the third cardiologist was sought, and the final decision was made based on the agreement of all cardiologists. To quantify the TIMI flow after pPCI, the thrombolysis in myocardial infarction (TIMI) flow grade categorization was used.99 TIMI Study Group. Comparison of Invasive and Conservative Strategies after Treatment with Intravenous Tissue Plasminogen Activator in Acute Myocardial Infarction. Results of the Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction (TIMI) Phase II Trial. N Engl J Med. 1989;320(10):618-27. doi: 10.1056/NEJM198903093201002.
https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJM198903093201...
TIMI flows 0, I, and II in the absence of coronary artery dissection or spasm were defined as NR phenomenon.1010 Abbo KM, Dooris M, Glazier S, O’Neill WW, Byrd D, Grines CL, et al. Features and Outcome of No-Reflow after Percutaneous Coronary Intervention. Am J Cardiol. 1995;75(12):778-82. doi: 10.1016/s0002-9149(99)80410-x.
https://doi.org/10.1016/s0002-9149(99)80...
TIMI myocardial perfusion grade (TMPG) was measured as described previously.1111 Gibson CM, Cannon CP, Daley WL, Dodge JT Jr, Alexander B Jr, Marble SJ, et al. TIMI Frame Count: a Quantitative Method of Assessing Coronary Artery Flow. Circulation. 1996;93(5):879-88. doi: 10.1161/01.cir.93.5.879.
https://doi.org/10.1161/01.cir.93.5.879...
One or more branches of the infarct-related artery with a new distal filling deficiency and an unexpected blockage distal to the coronary intervention site were identified as distal embolization. An electrocardiographic NR was defined as the lack of >70% electrocardiographic ST-segment resolution in the ECG.1212 Aşkın L, Aktürk E. Association between SYNTAX II Score and Electrocardiographic Evidence of No-Reflow in Patients with ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction. Turk Kardiyol Dern Ars. 2018;46(6):455-63. doi: 10.5543/tkda.2018.86132.
https://doi.org/10.5543/tkda.2018.86132...
Door-to-balloon time was defined as the time from admission to the emergency department of the PCI center to balloon inflation. Glycoproteins IIb/IIIa inhibitors, adenosine, and calcium channel blockers, or a combination of these drugs were used in the management of NR in our clinic. According to hospital protocol, the decision to do a manual mechanical thrombectomy was left to the attending cardiologist.

Statistical analysis

The normality of the distributions of variables was checked using the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test. Because all continuous variables had non-normal distributions, the median (interquartile range (IQR)) was applied to present them. Numbers and percentages were presented for categorical variables. χ2 test or Fisher's exact test was calculated for the comparisons of categorical variables between study groups. Comparisons of continuous variables between the groups were assessed using the Mann-Whitney U test. Univariable logistic regression analysis was used to detect statistically significant variables associated with NR (p<0.05). To avoid overfitting and achieve optimal model performance, variable selection for multivariable logistic regression analysis was done based on Lasso penalized shrinkage regression. A multivariable model with 10 variables selected from Lasso regression was built to detect independent predictors of NR. Two models were created as a baseline model (without IPI) and a full model (by adding IPI to the baseline model). Likelihood χ2 values of variables in the multivariable model were used to sort the prominence of variables in the model. Non-linearity was checked for all continuous variables in the model, and only IPI was non-linearly associated with the development of IPI. Therefore, we input IPI as a non-linear term using a restricted cubic spline in the multivariable model. Receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve analysis was used to compare the discrimination abilities of IPI with SII and the baseline model with the full model. To compare the ROC curves, the De-long test was employed. Also, decision curve analyses were performed to compare the net clinical benefits of IPI over SII and the full model over the baseline model to gain an additive effect of IPI. A nomogram was built based on the full model for the calculation of the predicted risk of NR. An internal validation using 300 bootstrap replications was used, and the discrimination and calibration abilities of the model were evaluated with C-statistic, Dxy, Brier score, slope, and intercept parameters. Also, a calibration plot was presented to show the prediction capability of nomograms in new clinical data. R-program version 3.6.3. (R statistical software, Institute for Statistics and Mathematics, Vienna, Austria) was utilized for all statistical analyses. The 95 % confidence interval (CI) and a 2-sided p-value of 0.05 were used to analyze the data.

Results

The summary of the methodology and results of the study is represented in the Central Illustration.

The study consisted of 1541 consecutive STMI patients (178 with NR and 1363 with reflow). Table 1 represents the baseline demographic, clinical, and laboratory characteristics of all patients. Patients with NR had higher rates of DM, Killip status ≥ 3, and higher values of white blood cell count (WBC), platelets, neutrophils, monocytes, red cell distribution width, serum uric acid, LDL-cholesterol, CRP, NLR, CRP/albumin ratio, SII, and IPI, and lower values of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), hemoglobin, lymphocytes, and serum albumin when compared to patients with reflow.

Table 1
Baseline demographic, clinical, laboratory, and echocardiographic features of study groups

Table 2 demonstrates the comparison of angiographic features of the study groups. Target lesion length and door-to-balloon time were longer in the NR group than in the reflow group. The NR group had higher rates of TMPG ≥ 2, distal embolization, thrombus burden grade ≥ 4, and lower rates of ST resolution than the reflow group. The NR group had higher in-hospital mortality than the reflow group (14 % vs. 4.1 %, respectively, p = <0.001). Door-to-balloon time, monocyte count, serum uric acid, baseline troponin I, LDL-cholesterol, LVEF, Target lesion length, thrombus burden grade, Killip status, and IPI, which were selected by Lasso penalized shrinkage regression as prominent in the model, were used in the multivariable model (Figure 1). All variables in the model were independently associated with NR, and the results from multivariable logistic regression analysis were displayed as the odds ratio for the interquartile range (from the 25th to the 75th percentile) for continuous variables (Table 3). The full model was created by adding IPI to the baseline model, and IPI was the most prominent variable in the model (Likelihood χ2 = 76.2, p <0.001) (Figure 2). The full model had higher discriminative ability than the baseline model for patients with NR from patients with reflow (area under curve (AUC)=0.919 vs. 0.883, respectively, De-long test p-value =0.017) (Figure 3). The discriminative capability of IPI for patients with NR was also higher than SII (AUC = 0.777, 0.672, respectively, De-Long test p-value <0.001) (Figure 4). Furthermore, IPI was more discriminative than both the components, including NLR and CAR (AUC values = 0.777, 0.651, 0.714, respectively, De-Long test p-value for IPI vs. NLR <0.001, for IPI vs. CAR =0.007) (Supplementary file 1). There was a non-linear relationship between IPI and the odds of NR (p for non-linearity < 0.001) (Figure 5). Decision curve analysis showed that adding IPI to the baseline improved the net clinical benefit above a threshold value of 2% (Figure 6). IPI had higher net clinical benefit when compared to SII above a threshold of 2% (Supplementary file 2). A clinical nomogram with variables in the multivariable model was created for the risk stratification of NR (Figure 7). A bootstrapping method by generating 300 random samples from the current sample distribution with replacement was used for the internal validation of the nomogram, and the results showed a good calibration (R2=0.50, intercept= 0, slope=1, Emax=0.08, Brier=0.06) and discriminative ability (Dxy=0.84, c-statistic=0.92) with adjusted optimism. The calibration plot also demonstrated the proper calibration of the nomogram (Figure 8).

Table 2
Angiographic properties and in-hospital mortality rates of study groups
Figure 1
Lasso penalized shrinkage for variable selection.
Table 3
Multivariable logistic regression analysis for detecting no-reflow
Figure 2
The sort of variables based on likelihood χ2 values to detect the prominence of variables in the multivariable model. LDL: low-density lipoprotein; LVEF: low ventricle ejection fraction; IPI: inflammatory prognostic index.
Figure 3
The comparison of discriminative abilities of baseline and full model using receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curves.
Figure 4
The comparison of discriminative abilities of IPI and SII using receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curves. IPI: inflammatory prognostic index.
Figure 5
The non-linear relationship of IPI with log-odds risk of no-reflow. IPI: inflammatory prognostic index.
Figure 6
Decision curve analysis to detect net clinical benefit of IPI by adding to baseline model.
Figure 7
Clinical nomogram based on IPI for detecting the risk of no-reflow development. LDL: low-density lipoprotein; LVEF: low ventricle ejection fraction; IPI: inflammatory prognostic index.
Figure 8
Calibration plot of nomogram.

Discussion

This study showed that NR patients had a higher IPI, and the IPI was non-linearly associated with the risk of NR development. IPI had a higher discriminative ability than SII, and adding IPI to the baseline model improved the model's discriminative capacity and net clinical benefit effect. A risk nomogram based on IPI had good discriminative and predictive ability in internal validation for detecting NR. Finally, IPI was the most significant variable in the multivariable model.

The incidence of the NR phenomenon might range from 3 to 15% in STEMI patients, and the main limitation of pPCI is the development of the NR phenomenon in the IRA.11 Terkelsen CJ, Christiansen EH, Sørensen JT, Kristensen SD, Lassen JF, Thuesen L, et al. Primary PCI as the Preferred Reperfusion Therapy in STEMI: it is a Matter of Time. Heart. 2009;95(5):362-9. doi: 10.1136/hrt.2007.139493.
https://doi.org/10.1136/hrt.2007.139493...
,33 Niccoli G, Burzotta F, Galiuto L, Crea F. Myocardial No-Reflow in Humans. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2009;54(4):281-92. doi: 10.1016/j.jacc.2009.03.054.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jacc.2009.03.0...
In line with the literature, the prevalence of NR in our sample was 11.6%. There are several complications of NR, such as arrhythmias and mortality.11 Terkelsen CJ, Christiansen EH, Sørensen JT, Kristensen SD, Lassen JF, Thuesen L, et al. Primary PCI as the Preferred Reperfusion Therapy in STEMI: it is a Matter of Time. Heart. 2009;95(5):362-9. doi: 10.1136/hrt.2007.139493.
https://doi.org/10.1136/hrt.2007.139493...
,33 Niccoli G, Burzotta F, Galiuto L, Crea F. Myocardial No-Reflow in Humans. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2009;54(4):281-92. doi: 10.1016/j.jacc.2009.03.054.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jacc.2009.03.0...
In-hospital mortality rates of NR and reflow groups in our study were 14% vs. 4.1%, respectively, which were in accordance with previous reports.1313 Deng L, Zhao X, Su X, Zhou M, Huang D, Zeng X. Machine Learning to Predict no Reflow and In-Hospital Mortality in Patients with ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction that Underwent Primary Percutaneous Coronary Intervention. BMC Med Inform Decis Mak. 2022;22(1):109. doi: 10.1186/s12911-022-01853-2.
https://doi.org/10.1186/s12911-022-01853...
,1414 Harrison RW, Aggarwal A, Ou FS, Klein LW, Rumsfeld JS, Roe MT, et al. Incidence and Outcomes of No-Reflow Phenomenon During Percutaneous Coronary Intervention among Patients with Acute Myocardial Infarction. Am J Cardiol. 2013;111(2):178-84. doi: 10.1016/j.amjcard.2012.09.015.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amjcard.2012.0...
Several risk factors were identified for the development of NR after pPCI, including delayed pPCI time, lower LVEF, longer target lesion length, higher thrombus grades, and worse Killip status.22 Durante A, Camici PG. Novel Insights Into an "Old" Phenomenon: The no Reflow. Int J Cardiol. 2015;187:273-80. doi: 10.1016/j.ijcard.2015.03.359.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijcard.2015.03...
,1515 Celik T, Iyisoy A, Kursaklioglu H, Turhan H, Kilic S, Kose S, et al. The Impact of Admission C-Reactive Protein Levels on the Development of Poor Myocardial Perfusion after Primary Percutaneous Intervention in Patients with Acute Myocardial Infarction. Coron Artery Dis. 2005;16(5):293-9. doi: 10.1097/00019501-200508000-00006.
https://doi.org/10.1097/00019501-2005080...
,1616 Fajar JK, Heriansyah T, Rohman MS. The Predictors of no Reflow Phenomenon after Percutaneous Coronary Intervention in Patients with ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction: A Meta-Analysis. Indian Heart J. 2018;70(Suppl 3):S406-18. doi: 10.1016/j.ihj.2018.01.032.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ihj.2018.01.03...
We found that longer door-to-balloon time, low LVEF, longer target lesion length, higher thrombus grade, and worse Killip status were independent predictor of NR and all were used in the nomogram. Lots of research has been carried out to determine possible risk factors for NR; however, a reliable risk assessment method is still lacking.33 Niccoli G, Burzotta F, Galiuto L, Crea F. Myocardial No-Reflow in Humans. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2009;54(4):281-92. doi: 10.1016/j.jacc.2009.03.054.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jacc.2009.03.0...
,1717 Wang JW, Zhou ZQ, Chen YD, Wang CH, Zhu XL. A Risk Score for no Reflow in Patients with ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction after Primary Percutaneous Coronary Intervention. Clin Cardiol. 2015;38(4):208-15. doi: 10.1002/clc.22376.
https://doi.org/10.1002/clc.22376...
Therefore, we aimed to develop a risk prediction nomogram based on IPI in the current study. Based on our knowledge, this is the first research to evaluate the association of IPI with NR in STMI patients in the literature.

The responsible underlying mechanisms of NR have not been fully understood. Nonetheless, microvascular occlusion due to platelet and neutrophil accumulation, external compression occurring after myocardial edema and severe vasoconstriction could be expected as being the main causes.33 Niccoli G, Burzotta F, Galiuto L, Crea F. Myocardial No-Reflow in Humans. J Am Coll Cardiol. 2009;54(4):281-92. doi: 10.1016/j.jacc.2009.03.054.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jacc.2009.03.0...
Inflammation plays a key role in the development of NR. Microvascular tone, epicardial tone, and neutrophil function are all known to be impacted by chronic low-grade inflammation. Polymorphonuclear neutrophil stimulation and accumulation arise in the injured myocardium soon after IRA reperfusion.1818 Michaels AD, Gibson CM, Barron HV. Microvascular Dysfunction in Acute Myocardial Infarction: Focus on the Roles of Platelet and Inflammatory Mediators in the No-Reflow Phenomenon. Am J Cardiol. 2000;85(5A):50B-60B. doi: 10.1016/s0002-9149(00)00811-0.
https://doi.org/10.1016/s0002-9149(00)00...
Cellular deformability can be further reduced during neutrophil activation. These hemorrheologic characteristics could be a factor in leukocyte trapping in capillaries, which would result in micro-vascular plugging.1818 Michaels AD, Gibson CM, Barron HV. Microvascular Dysfunction in Acute Myocardial Infarction: Focus on the Roles of Platelet and Inflammatory Mediators in the No-Reflow Phenomenon. Am J Cardiol. 2000;85(5A):50B-60B. doi: 10.1016/s0002-9149(00)00811-0.
https://doi.org/10.1016/s0002-9149(00)00...

The relationship between inflammatory markers and NR has been investigated previously. Wang et al. showed that neutrophil count on admission was an independent predictor of NR.1919 Wang Z, Ren L, Lei L, Ye H, Peng J. The Relationship between Neutrophil Counts on Admission and Angiographic No-Reflow after Primary Percutaneous Coronary Intervention in Patients with ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction. Acta Cardiol. 2016;71(2):241-6. doi: 10.2143/AC.71.2.3141856.
https://doi.org/10.2143/AC.71.2.3141856...
Dogan et al. noted that low lymphocyte counts were related to NR.2020 Dogan NB, Ozpelit E, Akdeniz S, Bilgin M, Baris N. Simple Clinical Risk Score for No-Reflow Prediction in Patients Undergoing Primary Percutaneous Coronary Intervention with Acute STEMI. Pak J Med Sci. 2015;31(3):576-81. doi: 10.12669/pjms.313.7484.
https://doi.org/10.12669/pjms.313.7484...
Wagdy et al. combined those two hematologic factors and reported that NLR was higher in NR and was an independent predictor of NR.77 Wagdy S, Sobhy M, Loutfi M. Neutrophil/Lymphocyte Ratio as a Predictor of In-Hospital Major Adverse Cardiac Events, New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation, and No-Reflow Phenomenon in Patients with ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction. Clin Med Insights Cardiol. 2016;10:19-22. doi: 10.4137/CMC.S35555.
https://doi.org/10.4137/CMC.S35555...
Another inflammatory marker, CRP, was reported to be higher in NR patients, and CRP was independently associated with NR.1515 Celik T, Iyisoy A, Kursaklioglu H, Turhan H, Kilic S, Kose S, et al. The Impact of Admission C-Reactive Protein Levels on the Development of Poor Myocardial Perfusion after Primary Percutaneous Intervention in Patients with Acute Myocardial Infarction. Coron Artery Dis. 2005;16(5):293-9. doi: 10.1097/00019501-200508000-00006.
https://doi.org/10.1097/00019501-2005080...
CRP might enhance the NR risk in two possible ways: firstly, high CRP levels encourage hypercoagulation which results in microvascular occlusion, and secondly, it leads a large infarct size by driving up complement cascade.2121 Ohlmann P, Jaquemin L, Morel O, El Behlgiti R, Faure A, Michotey MO, et al. Prognostic Value of C-Reactive Protein and Cardiac Troponin I in Primary Percutaneous Interventions for ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction. Am Heart J. 2006;152(6):1161-7. doi: 10.1016/j.ahj.2006.07.016.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ahj.2006.07.01...

22 Griselli M, Herbert J, Hutchinson WL, Taylor KM, Sohail M, Krausz T, et al. C-Reactive Protein and Complement are Important Mediators of Tissue Damage in Acute Myocardial Infarction. J Exp Med. 1999;190(12):1733-40. doi: 10.1084/jem.190.12.1733.
https://doi.org/10.1084/jem.190.12.1733...
-2323 Ørn S, Manhenke C, Ueland T, Damås JK, Mollnes TE, Edvardsen T, et al. C-Reactive Protein, Infarct Size, Microvascular Obstruction, and Left-Ventricular Remodelling Following Acute Myocardial Infarction. Eur Heart J. 2009;30(10):1180-6. doi: 10.1093/eurheartj/ehp070.
https://doi.org/10.1093/eurheartj/ehp070...

Albumin is a negative acute phase reactant and has anti-inflammatory and antioxidant effects.2424 Roche M, Rondeau P, Singh NR, Tarnus E, Bourdon E. The Antioxidant Properties of Serum Albumin. FEBS Lett. 2008;582(13):1783-7. doi: 10.1016/j.febslet.2008.04.057.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.febslet.2008.0...
Higher inflammatory status is related to lower serum albumin levels.2525 Don BR, Kaysen G. Serum albumin: Relationship to Inflammation and Nutrition. Semin Dial. 2004;17(6):432-7. doi: 10.1111/j.0894-0959.2004.17603.x.
https://doi.org/10.1111/j.0894-0959.2004...
Albumin decrease might induce myocardial reperfusion injury. The development of a hypercoagulable status in the capillary lumen may be influenced by the loss of antioxidant properties of albumin in the coronary microcirculation. 2626 Halliwell B. Albumin--an Important Extracellular Antioxidant?. Biochem Pharmacol. 1988;37(4):569-71. doi: 10.1016/0006-2952(88)90126-8.
https://doi.org/10.1016/0006-2952(88)901...
Finally, lower albumin was found to be associated with extended coronary atherosclerosis.2727 Narang R, Ridout D, Nonis C, Kooner JS. Serum Calcium, Phosphorus and Albumin Levels in Relation to the Angiographic Severity of Coronary Artery Disease. Int J Cardiol. 1997;60(1):73-9. doi: 10.1016/s0167-5273(97)02971-9.
https://doi.org/10.1016/s0167-5273(97)02...
Kurtul et al. reported that lower serum albumin was associated with NR and lower MPG in STMI patients after pPCI.2828 Kurtul A, Ocek AH, Murat SN, Yarlioglues M, Demircelik MB, Duran M, et al. Serum Albumin Levels on Admission are Associated with Angiographic No-Reflow after Primary Percutaneous Coronary Intervention in Patients with ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction. Angiology. 2015;66(3):278-85. doi: 10.1177/0003319714526035.
https://doi.org/10.1177/0003319714526035...
CRP and albumin were combined, and CAR was found to be independently linked with NR.66 Karabağ Y, Çağdaş M, Rencuzogullari I, Karakoyun S, Artaç İ, İliş D, et al. Usefulness of the C-Reactive Protein/Albumin Ratio for Predicting No-Reflow in ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction Treated with Primary Percutaneous Coronary Intervention. Eur J Clin Invest. 2018;48(6):e12928. doi: 10.1111/eci.12928.
https://doi.org/10.1111/eci.12928...

The IPI has emerged as a new inflammatory marker that is a composite of both NLR and CAR. It has been reported as a prognostic predictor in cancer patients.2929 Ozveren A, Erdogan AP, Ekinci F. The Inflammatory Prognostic Index as a Potential Predictor of Prognosis in Metastatic Gastric Cancer. Sci Rep. 2023;13(1):7755. doi: 10.1038/s41598-023-34778-5.
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-34778...
,3030 Dirican N, Dirican A, Anar C, Atalay S, Ozturk O, Bircan A, et al. A New Inflammatory Prognostic Index, Based on C-reactive Protein, the Neutrophil to Lymphocyte Ratio and Serum Albumin is Useful for Predicting Prognosis in Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Cases. Asian Pac J Cancer Prev. 2016;17(12):5101-6. doi: 10.22034/APJCP.2016.17.12.5101.
https://doi.org/10.22034/APJCP.2016.17.1...
No study has evaluated the IPI in STEMI for NR in the literature. The combination of variables is expected to have a higher predictive ability than the parameters separately. This research indicated that IPI had higher discriminative and predictive ability than both NLR and CAR. Furthermore, SII is one of the most reported inflammatory markers in the literature. We also found the superiority of IPI over SII in detecting NR in this research.

The IPI, an easily calculable marker from peripheral blood count, and also IPI-based nomogram might predict the development of NR phenomenon and could be used for risk stratification and help clinicians to make decisions for the management of STMI patients undergoing pPCI who are at high risk for NR development. In patients with a high risk for NR based on the IPI before pPCI, clinicians should be aware of performing procedures that lead to lower risk of the development of NR including direct stent implantation without using repeated balloon dilatations, using drug-coated balloons, using glycoproteins IIb/IIIa inhibitors, quick transfers of patients to the centers with pPCI units for gaining short pain-to-balloon times, using thrombus aspiration devices as well as using single long stent instead of overlap stents.

There were some limitations of this study as follows. Firstly, due to the cross-sectional and retrospective study design, a causal relationship between the IPI and NR could not be well documented. Secondly, there might be unmeasured confounding effects despite the presence of a multivariable regression model. Thirdly, another drawback was the absence of more accurate techniques to determine the degree of NR, such as coronary magnetic resonance imaging and myocardial contrast echocardiography. Fourthly, the results could not be generalized to other patients with acute coronary syndrome because only STEMI patients were included in the study. Fifthly, because the study duration was long and some changes in the treatment strategies for the management of STEMI patients were observed, such differences were not taken into account in our study. Therefore, further studies investigating the predictive value of IPI at different years might shed light on this issue.

Conclusion

This study revealed that IPI was an independent predictor of NR in STEMI patients. IPI might be a better marker than SII, NLR, and CAR for detecting NR patients. Finally, IPI based nomogram had good discrimination and calibration properties for risk stratification.

*Supplemental Materials

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  • Sources of funding
    There were no external funding sources for this study.
  • Study association
    This study is not associated with any thesis or dissertation work.
  • Ethics approval and consent to participate
    This article does not contain any studies with human participants or animals performed by any of the authors.

Edited by

Editor responsible for the review: Gláucia Maria Moraes de Oliveira

Data availability

Publication Dates

  • Publication in this collection
    29 Apr 2024
  • Date of issue
    2024

History

  • Received
    13 Sept 2023
  • Reviewed
    17 Dec 2023
  • Accepted
    18 Jan 2024
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