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Carbon sequestration potential of pastures in Southern Brazil: A systematic review

ABSTRACT

Since the industrial revolution, human activities have emitted approximately 2,500 Gt of CO2, increasing the concentration of atmospheric CO2 by 50 % compared to pre-industrial levels. To better understand the potential for mitigating greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions through proper management of degraded pasture areas, we conducted a systematic literature review and identified 23 publications reporting carbon sequestration values for pastures managed under different conditions in the south and southeast regions of Brazil. From this dataset, 17 publications considered to be in line with the research premises were selected to estimate the potential for soil carbon sequestration (SEQ) through pasture recovery in the southern region of Brazil, using conservative and regenerative agricultural management practices. Results show that managed pastures can sustain carbon sequestration rates of around 2.50 Mg C ha-1 yr-1 over approximately 20 years. However, due to the numerous variables influencing SEQ rates, the limited number of publications, and the lack of data for some variables among them, a more extensive analysis of publications and data is needed to establish causal and preponderance relationships regarding the effect of each variable on the found SEQ rates. Under current pasture occupation conditions in Brazil’s south region, it is estimated these areas could sequester between 0.433 and 1.273 Gt CO2 at the end of 20 years if managed under appropriate practices. These numbers are not representative to reduce atmospheric CO2 concentration from legacy emissions and significantly mitigate physical impacts of climate change, reinforcing the importance of prioritizing the reduction of global GHG emissions as the primary mitigation strategy. On the other hand, from the perspective of mitigating the national agricultural sector’s annual GHG emissions, this potential cannot be considered negligible. Carbon sequestration by soils under agricultural management can play a vital role in mitigating climate change, integrating the set of necessary solutions and actions for a Paris Agreement goals compatible trajectory of limiting global warming to between 1.5 and 2 °C by the end of the century.

Keywords
climate change; soil texture; degradation level; Atlantic Forest Biome; Pampas Biome

INTRODUCTION

There has been a growing concern about how the environmental impacts of human activity affect the planet. In face of society’s exponential growth rate and demand for resources under the current economic development model, the scientific understanding is that this dynamic constitutes a threat to civilization itself and life on Earth as we know it, as we are breaking planetary boundaries crucial for the stability and maintenance of the planet’s support capacities, essential for our survival (Rockström et al., 2009Rockström J, Steffen W, Noone KJ, Persson Å, Chapin III FS, Lambin EF, Lenton TM, Scheffer M, Folke C, Schellnhuber HJ, Nykvist B, De Wit CA, Hughes TP, Der Leeuw SV, Rodhe H, Sörlin S, Snyder PK, Constanza R, Svedin U, Falkenmark M, Karlberg L, Corell RW, Fabry VJ, Hansen J, Walker B, Liverman D, Richardson K, Crutzen PJ, Foley JA. A safe operating space for humanity. Nature. 2019;461:472-5. https://doi.org/10.1038/461472a
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).

There is broad scientific consensus that the planet’s observed warming trend and intensification of related extreme events are a consequence of anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse gases (GHG), primarily from burning fossil fuels followed by land-use changes. The sixth and most recent assessment report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the leading authority on the state-of-the-art in climate science, unequivocally confirms human influence in warming the atmosphere, oceans, and continental territories through anthropogenic GHG emissions (IPCC, 2021Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change - IPCC. Summary for policymakers. In: MassonDelmotte VP, Zhai A, Pirani SL, Connors C, Péan S, Berger N, Caud Y, Chen L, Goldfarb MI, Gomis M, Huang K, Leitzell E, Lonnoy JBR, Matthews TK, Maycock T, Waterfield O, Yelekçi R, Yu B, editors. Climate Change 2021: The physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press; 2021. p. 3-35. Available from: https://ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/downloads/report/IPCC_AR6_WGI_SummaryVolume.pdf
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). The reports also highlight the urgent need for action to avoid irreversible consequences for humanity and the planet (IPCC, 2022Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change - IPCC. Summary for policymakers. In: Pörtner H-O, Roberts DC, Poloczanska ES, Mintenbeck K, Tignor M, Alegría A, Craig M, Langsdorf S, Löschke S, Möller V, Okem A, editors. Climate Change 2022: Impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press; 2022. p. 3-36. Available from: https://ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg2/downloads/report/IPCC_AR6_WGII_SummaryVolume.pdf
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).

Agriculture and conversions from native ecosystems to agrosystems contribute, worldwide, to approximately 24 % of global CO2 emissions, 55 % of CH4 emissions, and 85 % of total N2O emissions into the atmosphere (IPCC, 2007Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change - IPCC. Climate Change 2007: Impacts, adaptation and vulnerability. In: Parry ML, Canziani OF, Palutikof JP, van der Linden PJ, Hanson CE, editors. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press; 2007. Available from: https://ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/03/ar4_wg2_full_report.pdf
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), placing Brazil as the 4th largest historical CO2 emitter (Evans, 2021), and currently responsible for around 4.4 % of global GHG emissions (Our World in Data, 2023Our World in Data. Greenhouse gas emissions [internet]. 2023 [cited 2023 aug 13]. Available from: https://ourworldindata.org/greenhouse-gas-emissions.
https://ourworldindata.org/greenhouse-ga...
; SEEG, 2023Sistema de Estimativa de Emissões e Remoções de Gases de Efeito Estufa - SEEG. [internet]. 2023 [cited in 2023 aug 12]. Available from: https://seeg.eco.br/.
https://seeg.eco.br/...
). Around 75 % of the country’s gross emissions (tCO2e) come from the agricultural and land-use sectors, with 24.8 and 49 %, respectively, in 2021 (SEEG, 2023Sistema de Estimativa de Emissões e Remoções de Gases de Efeito Estufa - SEEG. [internet]. 2023 [cited in 2023 aug 12]. Available from: https://seeg.eco.br/.
https://seeg.eco.br/...
), while the aggregate Gross Domestic Product (GDP) of agribusiness represented around 27.5 % of the national GDP (CEPEA, 2022Centro de Estudos Avançados em Economia Aplicada - CEPEA. PIB do Agronegócio cresceu abaixo das projeções. Piracicaba: USP/ESALQ; 2022 [cited 2023 Aug 12]. Available from: https://www.cepea.esalq.usp.br/br/releases/pib-agro-cepea-pib-do-agro-cresce-8-36-em-2021-participacao-no-pib-brasileiro-chega-a-27-4.aspx.
https://www.cepea.esalq.usp.br/br/releas...
). The country’s total emissions for the 2000 to 2020 period are at similar levels as today, with land-use changes and agriculture accounting for approximately 52 and 24 %, respectively (SEEG, 2023Sistema de Estimativa de Emissões e Remoções de Gases de Efeito Estufa - SEEG. [internet]. 2023 [cited in 2023 aug 12]. Available from: https://seeg.eco.br/.
https://seeg.eco.br/...
).

Deducting carbon removals promoted by vegetation and land-use, in 2021, agricultural activity accounted for a total of 34.2 % of net national GHG emissions, of which 63.7 % came from enteric fermentation alone, accounting for around 16 % of gross national emissions and 22 % of the country’s net emissions. In the same year, Brazil had between 95 and 100 million hectares of degraded pastures, representing almost two-thirds of the country’s total pasture area (LAPIG, 2023Laboratório de Processamento e Imagens e Geoprocessamento - LAPIG. Atlas digital das pastagens brasileiras. Goiânia: Universidade Federal de Goiás; 2023 [cited 2023 Aug 12]. Available from: https://lapig.iesa.ufg.br/p/38972-atlas-das-pastagens.
https://lapig.iesa.ufg.br/p/38972-atlas-...
; MapBiomas, 2023MapBiomas. Projeto MapBiomas – Coleção 7 da Série anual de mapas de cobertura e uso de solo do Brasil. 2023 [cited 2023 aug 12]. Available from: https://plataforma.brasil.mapbiomas.org/.
https://plataforma.brasil.mapbiomas.org/...
). Under the Paris Agreement, in addition to becoming Net Zero by 2050, Brazil has also voluntarily committed to reducing national GHG emissions by 43 % and restoring 15 million hectares of degraded pastures by 2030 (CDP, 2023Projeto de Divulgação de Carbono - CDP. Como as empresas brasileiras estão contribuindo para o Brasil atingir as suas metas de redução do desmatamento e proteção da biodiversidade? [internet]. CDP Global; 2023 [cited 2023 Oct 07]. Available from: https://cdn.cdp.net/cdp-production/cms/reports/documents/000/007/255/original/Facsheet_Floresta_NDC_PT_VF.pdf.
https://cdn.cdp.net/cdp-production/cms/r...
).

Pasture degradation is an evolutionary process involving the loss of vitality, productivity, and the ability to sustain the production levels and quality required by animals. It also encompasses overcoming the harmful effects of pests, diseases, and invasive plants, ultimately leading to advanced degradation due to inadequate management (Townsend et al., 2012Townsend CR, Costa NL, Pereira RGA. Recuperação e práticas sustentáveis de manejo de pastagens na Amazônia. Porto Velho, RO: Embrapa Rondônia; 2012. Available from: https://ainfo.cnptia.embrapa.br/digital/bitstream/item/111219/1/doc148-pastagens.pdf.
https://ainfo.cnptia.embrapa.br/digital/...
). Degradation is directly linked to soil quality (SQ), which comprises the set of functions and characteristics allowing it to accept, store, and recycle water, nutrients, and energy, sustaining productivity and promoting the health of plants and animals (Doran, 1997Doran JW. Soil quality and sustainability. In: CD-ROM, XXVI Congresso Brasileiro de Ciência do Solo; 1997; Rio de Janeiro, RJ. Rio de Janeiro: Embrapa CNPS; 1997.; Carter, 2001Carter MR. Organic matter and sustainability. In: Rees BC, Ball BC, Campbell CD, Watson CA, editors. Sustainable management of soil organic. Wallingford: CAB International; 2001. p. 9-22.). This way, degradation can also be understood as the loss or decrease at some level of these properties, ensuring the soil ability to fulfill its functions in nature.

In the land-use context, the definition of management is related to the way human intervention occurs in a landscape through the set of practices adopted. Since degradation involves the loss of SQ and, consequently, its productive capacities and functional properties, appropriate or conservationist management of a productive system can prevent or reverse degradation characteristics, or from the opposite perspective, it can sustain or recover SQ. Different types of agricultural management in a crop, forestry and pasture areas directly influence SQ, particularly regarding soil aggregation and carbon content (Braida et al., 2007Braida JA, Bayer C, Albuquerque JA, Reichert JM. Matéria orgânica e seu efeito na física do solo. In: Filho OK, Mafra AL, Gatiboni LC, editors. Tópicos em ciência do solo. Viçosa, MG: Sociedade Brasileira de Ciência do Solo; 2007. v. 1. p. 221-78.; Vezzani and Mielniczuk, 2009Vezzani FM, Mielniczuk J. Uma visão sobre a qualidade do solo. Rev Bras Cienc Solo. 2009;33:743-55. https://doi.org/10.1590/S0100-06832009000400001
https://doi.org/10.1590/S0100-0683200900...
). Adopted management can contribute to observing better or worse conditions for these indicators. Practices without soil disturbance, such as plowing and harrowing, and the constant presence of plants, preferably of varied species, are some practices that favor the maintenance and improvement of carbon stocks (CS) and SQ (Fayad et al., 2019Fayad JA, Arl V, Comin JJ, Mafra AL, Marchesi DR. Sistema de plantio direto de hortaliças. Florianópolis, SC: Epagri; 2019. Available from: https://publicacoes.epagri.sc.gov.br/BD/issue/download/71/89.
https://publicacoes.epagri.sc.gov.br/BD/...
).

Certain agricultural systems and management conditions can mitigate GHG emissions into the atmosphere by maximizing the effects of soil and vegetation carbon sequestration (SEQ) (Carvalho et al., 2010aCarvalho JLN, Avanzi JC, Silva MLN, Mello CR, Cerri CEP. Potencial de sequestro de carbono em diferentes biomas do Brasil. Rev Bras Cienc Solo. 2010a;34:277-89. https://doi.org/10.1590/S0100-06832010000200001
https://doi.org/10.1590/S0100-0683201000...
; Quintão et al., 2021Quintão JMB, Cantinho RZ, Albuquerque ERGM, Maracahipes L, Bustamante MMC. Mudanças do uso e cobertura da terra no Brasil, emissões de GEE e políticas em curso. Cienc Cult. 2021;73:18-24. https://doi.org/10.21800/2317-66602021000100004
https://doi.org/10.21800/2317-6660202100...
). Regarding pasture management, different studies have highlighted the potential and capacity of systems such as Voisin Rational Grazing (VRG), Adaptive Multi-Paddock Grazing (AMP) and Holistic Grazing Management (HGM) to contribute to increases in soil CS, surpassing levels achieved by conventional management systems (Seó et al., 2017Seó HLS, Machado Filho LCP, Brugnara D. Rationally managed pastures stock more carbon than no-tillage fields. Front Environ Sci. 2017;5:87. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2017.00087
https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2017.00087...
; Stanley et al., 2018Stanley PL, Rowntree JE, Beede DK, Delonge MS, Hamm MW. Impacts of soil carbon sequestration on life cycle greenhouse gas emissions in Midwestern USA beef finishing systems. Agr Syst. 2018;162:249-58. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2018.02.003
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2018.02.0...
; Mosier et al., 2021Mosier S, Apfelbaum S, Byck P, Calderon F, Teague R, Thompson R, Cotrufo MF. Adaptive multi-paddock grazing enhances soil carbon and nitrogen stocks and stabilization through mineral association in southeastern U.S. grazing lands. J Environ Manage. 2021;288:112409. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2021.112409
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2021.1...
). This capacity arises from these systems favoring a reduction in erosion due to overgrazing, a greater supply of nutrients from animal excreta, maintenance of soil cover, and an ideal fallow period for sustaining the root zone and recomposing the aerial part of the vegetation (Machado, 2004Machado LCP. Pastoreio Racional Voisin: Tecnologia agroecológica para o terceiro milênio. Porto Alegre, RS: Cinco continentes; 2004.; Machado Filho et al., 2021Machado Filho LCP, Seó HLS, Daros RR, Enriquez-Hidalgo D, Wendling AV, Machado LCP. Voisin rational grazing as a sustainable alternative for livestock production. Animals. 2021;11:3494. https://doi.org/10.3390/ani11123494
https://doi.org/10.3390/ani11123494...
), aspects not controlled in extensive management systems. On the other hand, intensive confinement areas are generally associated with erosion and consequent soil carbon loss (Izaurralde et al., 2007Izaurralde RC, Williams JR, Post WM, Thomson AM, Mcgill WB, Owens LB, Lal R. Long-term modeling of soil C erosion and sequestration at the small watershed scale. Climatic Change. 2007;80:73-90. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-006-9167-6
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-006-9167-...
; Olson et al., 2016Olson KR, Al-Kaisi M, Lal R, Cihacek L. Impact of soil erosion on soil organic carbon stocks. J Soil Water Conserv. 2016;71:61A-7A. https://doi.org/10.2489/jswc.71.3.61A
https://doi.org/10.2489/jswc.71.3.61A...
).

In addition to management practices, CS levels and rates of soil SEQ vary depending on different factors, such as source material, pedogenetic processes, soil texture, amount of organic matter (OM) cycling and input, and climatic conditions, with higher CS generally being achieved in conditions of lower temperatures and higher rainfall (Jenny, 1941Jenny H. Factors of soil formation. New York: McGraw-Hill; 1941.; Hengl et al., 2015Hengl T, Heuvelink GBM, Kempen B. Leenaars JGB, Walsh MG, Shepherd KD, Sila A, Macmillan RA, Jesus JMD, Tamene L, Tondoh JE. Mapping soil properties of Africa at 250 m resolution: Random forests significantly improve current predictions. PLoS ONE. 2015;10:e0125814. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0125814
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.012...
; Gomes et al., 2019Gomes LC, Faria RM, Souza E, Veloso GV, Schaefer CEGR, Fernandes Filho EI. Modelling and mapping soil organic carbon stocks in Brazil. Geoderma. 2019;340:337-50. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geoderma.2019.01.007
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geoderma.2019....
). At least 50 years of soil maintenance are required to achieve the maximum possible CS, but the rate of increase will not necessarily be constant throughout this period (Lal et al., 1998Lal R, Kimble JM, Follett R, Cole CV. The potential of US cropland to sequester carbon and mitigate the greenhouse effect. Chelsea, MI: Sleeping Bear Press; 1998.).

Numerous studies and authors have explored the carbon fluxes dynamics in soils managed under pasture in Brazil, primarily concentrated in the Amazon and Cerrado biomes (Moraes et al., 1996Moraes JFL, Volkoff B, Cerri CC, Bernoux M. Soil properties under Amazon Forest and changes due to pasture installation in Rondônia, Brazil. Geoderma. 1996;70:63-81. https://doi.org/10.1016/0016-7061(95)00072-0
https://doi.org/10.1016/0016-7061(95)000...
; Neill et al., 1997Neill C, Melillo JM, Steudler PA, Cerri CC, Moraes JFL, Piccolo MC, Brito M. Soil carbon and nitrogen stocks following forest clearing for pasture in the southwestern Brazilian Amazon. Ecol Appl. 1997;7:1216-25. https://doi.org/10.1890/1051-0761(1997)007[1216:SCANSF]2.0.CO;2
https://doi.org/10.1890/1051-0761(1997)0...
; Bernoux et al., 1998Bernoux M, Arrouays D, Cerri CC, Bourennane H. Modelling vertical distribution of carbon in Oxisols of the Western Brazilian Amazon (Rondônia). Soil Sci. 1998;163:941-51. https://doi.org/10.1097/00010694-199812000-00004
https://doi.org/10.1097/00010694-1998120...
; Cerri et al., 2003Cerri CEP, Coleman K, Jenkinson DS, Bernoux M, Victoria R, Cerri CC. Modeling soil carbon from forest and pasture ecosystems of Amazon, Brazil. Soil Sci Soc Am J. 2003;67:1879-87. https://doi.org/10.2136/sssaj2003.1879
https://doi.org/10.2136/sssaj2003.1879...
; Bustamante et al., 2006Bustamante MMC, Corbeels M, Scopel E, Roscoe R. Soil carbon and sequestration potential in the Cerrado Region of Brazil. In: Lal R, Cerri CC, Bernoux M, Etchevers J, Cerri CEP, editors. Carbon sequestration in soils of Latin America. Philadelphia, Pennsylvania: The Haworth Press; 2006. p. 285-304.; Segnini et al., 2007Segnini A, Milori DMBP, Simões ML, Silva WTL, Primavesi O, Martin-Neto L. Potencial de sequestro de carbono em área de pastagem de Brachiaria decumbens. In: XXXI Congresso Brasileiro de Ciência do Solo; 2007 Aug 05-10; Gramado, RS, Brasil. Viçosa, MG: Sociedade Brasileira de Ciência do Solo; 2007. Available from: https://ainfo.cnptia.embrapa.br/digital/bitstream/CPPSE/17172/1/PROCIOP2007.00153.pdf.
https://ainfo.cnptia.embrapa.br/digital/...
; Carvalho et al., 2010bCarvalho JLN, Raucci GS, Cerri CEP, Bernoux M, Feigl BJ, Wruck FJ, Cerri CC. Impact of pasture, agriculture and crop-livestock systems on soil C stocks in Brazil. Soil Till Res. 2010b;110:175-86. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.still.2010.07.011
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.still.2010.07....
; Oliveira et al., 2021Oliveira DC, Oliveira DMS, Freitas RCA, Barreto MS, Almeida REM, Batista RB, Cerri CEP. Depth assessed and up-scaling of single case studies might overestimate the role of C sequestration by pastures in the commitments of Brazil’s low-carbon agriculture plan. Carbon Manag. 2021;12:499-508. https://doi.org/10.1080/17583004.2021.1977390
https://doi.org/10.1080/17583004.2021.19...
). Despite the established knowledge about this potential and the existing mechanisms for valuing the environmental service of atmospheric carbon sequestration, significant degradation rates persist in the national territory, specially in the South Region, highlighting potential barriers to reversing this scenario.

Considering the economic and climatic importance of agriculture and land-use in the Brazilian context; the potential for reducing GHG emissions and promoting carbon removals in these sectors through GHG mitigation practices; and the limited visibility of studies focused on SEQ in Brazil’s southern region pastures; this research aimed to identify soil SEQ potential in these managed systems through a systematic literature review. We hypothesize that the environmental service of carbon sequestration, potentially promoted by the recovery of these areas, represents a significant contribution to the global context of climate change, given the current conditions of pasture areas in this geographical region. Our goal was to investigate the potential magnitude of this environmental service for the described area, verifying its relevance and discussing opportunities and challenges associated with the transition to sustainable agricultural practices on a large scale.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The delimited area for studies surveying by the systematic review was the South Region of Brazil, according to geopolitical division, characterized by the predominant climate typologies of humid subtropical (Cfa) and oceanic (Cfb) Köppen climate classification system. This region includes the Atlantic Forest and Pampa biomes. Pampa biome also extends into Argentina and Uruguay; however, no studies have been performed in these regions, as the research was exclusively conducted in Brazil’s territory. Due to the limited volume of articles found, publications on the Atlantic Forest biome in the southeast region were also included in the research to enhance the representativeness of the analysis. The representation of the study area is depicted in figure 1.

Figure 1
Location map of the study area. Source: Elaborated by the author with data provided by IBGE (2019)Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística - IBGE. Mapa de biomas e sistema costeiro-marinho do Brasil 1:250000. Rio de Janeiro, RJ: IBGE, Coordenação de Recursos Naturais e Estudos Ambientais; 2019. Available from: https://www.ibge.gov.br/geociencias/cartas-e-mapas/informacoes-ambientais/15842-biomas.html.
https://www.ibge.gov.br/geociencias/cart...
.

In addition to the reference values found from the literature review, other data used to conduct the analyses included the mapping of Brazilian pasture degradation classes for the year 2021, provided by the Image Processing and Geoprocessing Laboratory of the Federal University of Goiás (LAPIG/UFG), and the grouping of soil classes from the Brazilian Soil Classification System (SiBCS) by Bernoux et al. (2002)Bernoux M, Carvalho MCS, Volkoff B, Cerri CC. Brazil’s soil carbon stocks. Soil Sci Soc Am J. 2002;66:888-96. https://doi.org/10.2136/sssaj2002.0888
https://doi.org/10.2136/sssaj2002.0888...
provided by MCTI (2020)Ministério da Ciência, Tecnologia e Inovação - MCTI. Quarto inventário nacional de emissões e remoções antrópicas de gases de efeito estufa – Relatório de referência: Setor uso da terra, mudança do uso da terra e florestas. Brasília, DF: MCTI; 2020. Available from: https://www.gov.br/mcti/pt-br/acompanhe-o-mcti/sirene/publicacoes/relatorios-de-referencia-setorial.
https://www.gov.br/mcti/pt-br/acompanhe-...
. Data used are summarized in table 1; and figure 2 provides a visual representation of the two georeferenced products used in the analyses.

Table 1
Variables used to conduct the analysis
Figure 2
Illustration of the georeferenced data used to conduct the analysis. Grouping of soil classes from the Brazilian Soil Classification System by Bernoux et al. (2002)Bernoux M, Carvalho MCS, Volkoff B, Cerri CC. Brazil’s soil carbon stocks. Soil Sci Soc Am J. 2002;66:888-96. https://doi.org/10.2136/sssaj2002.0888
https://doi.org/10.2136/sssaj2002.0888...
(a); Pasture degradation classes in 2021 (b). Source: Author elaborated on this with data provided by LAPIG (2023)Laboratório de Processamento e Imagens e Geoprocessamento - LAPIG. Atlas digital das pastagens brasileiras. Goiânia: Universidade Federal de Goiás; 2023 [cited 2023 Aug 12]. Available from: https://lapig.iesa.ufg.br/p/38972-atlas-das-pastagens.
https://lapig.iesa.ufg.br/p/38972-atlas-...
and MCTI (2020)Ministério da Ciência, Tecnologia e Inovação - MCTI. Quarto inventário nacional de emissões e remoções antrópicas de gases de efeito estufa – Relatório de referência: Setor uso da terra, mudança do uso da terra e florestas. Brasília, DF: MCTI; 2020. Available from: https://www.gov.br/mcti/pt-br/acompanhe-o-mcti/sirene/publicacoes/relatorios-de-referencia-setorial.
https://www.gov.br/mcti/pt-br/acompanhe-...
.

Defining pasture carbon sequestration factors

The initial step in the methodological course of activities involved conducting a systematic literature review for mapping and summarizing the volume of soil carbon sequestration data available for Brazil’s south region. This survey was performed by searching the Scopus platform in March 2023, using the combination of keywords (Pasture OR Grassland OR Grazing) & Carbon & Soil & (Sequestration OR Removal OR Addition OR Accumulation). Subsequently, the articles were sequentially filtered based on the criteria described in the following steps.

i. Sample universe: All articles returned by the combined keyword search (5,718 articles), filtered for Brazil region (336 articles).

ii. Bank of articles for analysis: Articles with quantitative data on soil organic carbon (SOC) located in the Atlantic Forest biome or the South Region (67 articles).

iii. Data tabulation: Articles that presented reference values for variation rates of soil CS in managed pastures, or for which it was possible to infer this variation from other data presented, such as experiment time and CS of a reference area (23 articles).

iv. Sample set selected: Articles with experiments located in the south or southeast region, whose soil CS variation rates resulted in carbon sequestration by pasture management (17 articles). For studies with values reported for different layers, we sought to adopt the value of the deepest layer up to the 0.40 m limit.

For each publication, all the available information on aspects influencing the observed SEQ rates was tabulated, which encompasses from geophysical data such as geographical location, altitude, biome, climatic characteristics and soil textural class; to the system’s characteristics such as cultivated species, type of land-use, management type, grazing pressure (grazing height and/or animal stocking), forage productivity, animal productivity, adoption of soil turning and fertilization practices. Other relevant information for the analysis of found CS and SEQ rates included the year of native vegetation conversion, the area previous use before system implementation, the experiment duration, the layer depth, and the comparative basis of the CS adopted to determine the observed SEQ rates. Based on the values found, maximum, average, and minimum SEQ values were established for different soil textural class conditions as a prerequisite for the subsequent calculation stage (Table 2).

Table 2
Conceptual distribution of carbon sequestration factors (SEQ) to be used in calculations of estimated SEQ potential by pastures

Considering the hierarchy SEQclayey > SEQclay-sandy > SEQsandy indicated in the literature for the same climatic and management conditions, and the representativeness and characteristics of data returned by the systematic literature review, as a conservative approach, the range of maximum, average, and minimum SEQ values was attributively defined for the clayey textural class and unfolded for the others. To do this, based on the observed data from Stanley et al. (2018)Stanley PL, Rowntree JE, Beede DK, Delonge MS, Hamm MW. Impacts of soil carbon sequestration on life cycle greenhouse gas emissions in Midwestern USA beef finishing systems. Agr Syst. 2018;162:249-58. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2018.02.003
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2018.02.0...
, correction factors of 80 % were applied to transpose the SEQ values found for clayey soils to clay-sandy soils, and 40 to 50 % to transpose the values from clayey soils to sandy soils. Since reference values for SEQ are typically expressed in publications in terms of Mg C ha-1 yr-1, atmospheric CO2 removal calculations were conducted by converting these values to Mg CO2 ha-1 yr-1, using the CO2-C stoichiometry of 44/12 (CO2 molar mass / C molar mass) as a basis.

Carbon sequestration potential through pasture recovery and management

To determine the SEQ factors to be applied in each pasture polygon, georeferenced data on the current degradation class and soil type grouping from the SiBCS produced by Bernoux et al. (2002)Bernoux M, Carvalho MCS, Volkoff B, Cerri CC. Brazil’s soil carbon stocks. Soil Sci Soc Am J. 2002;66:888-96. https://doi.org/10.2136/sssaj2002.0888
https://doi.org/10.2136/sssaj2002.0888...
were cross-referenced. The following assumptions were made for this stage:

  • CO2 removal factors presented in the literature for well-managed and recovering pastures can be transposed to calculate the potential for increased CS in other pasture areas;

  • Level of pasture degradation directly influences the amount of carbon stored in a given plot of soil;

  • Recovery and proper management of pastures promote removals of atmospheric CO2 continuously for 20 to 50 years until the SOC stock stabilizes (IPCC, 2019Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change - IPCC. 2019 Refinement to the 2006 IPCC Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories, Prepared by the National Greenhouse Gas Inventories Programme. Volume 4: Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Use. Chapter 2: Generic methodologies applicable to multiple land-use categories. Published: IPCC, Switzerland, 2019. Available from: https://www.ipcc-nggip.iges.or.jp/public/2019rf/
    https://www.ipcc-nggip.iges.or.jp/public...
    ; Lal et al., 1998Lal R, Kimble JM, Follett R, Cole CV. The potential of US cropland to sequester carbon and mitigate the greenhouse effect. Chelsea, MI: Sleeping Bear Press; 1998.).

Considering that SOC contents tend to be higher in areas with a lower degradation index, maximum sequestration rates were assigned to areas with greater degradation and vice versa. Data provided by Bernoux et al. (2002)Bernoux M, Carvalho MCS, Volkoff B, Cerri CC. Brazil’s soil carbon stocks. Soil Sci Soc Am J. 2002;66:888-96. https://doi.org/10.2136/sssaj2002.0888
https://doi.org/10.2136/sssaj2002.0888...
was used as a proxy to determine the soil textural class under each pasture polygon, assigning the correspondences shown in table 3.

Table 3
Deriving textural classes from soil groupings

Georeferenced pasture quality data (LAPIG, 2023Laboratório de Processamento e Imagens e Geoprocessamento - LAPIG. Atlas digital das pastagens brasileiras. Goiânia: Universidade Federal de Goiás; 2023 [cited 2023 Aug 12]. Available from: https://lapig.iesa.ufg.br/p/38972-atlas-das-pastagens.
https://lapig.iesa.ufg.br/p/38972-atlas-...
) was cross-referenced with the SiBCS soil class grouping data (Bernoux et al., 2002Bernoux M, Carvalho MCS, Volkoff B, Cerri CC. Brazil’s soil carbon stocks. Soil Sci Soc Am J. 2002;66:888-96. https://doi.org/10.2136/sssaj2002.0888
https://doi.org/10.2136/sssaj2002.0888...
), thereby determining the soil textural class under each pasture polygon. Subsequently, acknowledging the high uncertainty associated with the likely SEQ values resulting from pasture management, three different scenarios were formulated for calculating the potential carbon sequestration in these areas, as shown in table 4.

Table 4
Scenarios considered and respective carbon sequestration factors application

Thus, based on the textural class characterization obtained for each pasture polygon and the corresponding assignment of SEQ factors, as shown in table 4, carbon sequestration potential in these areas was calculated for each scenario over a 20-year horizon. Once the potential carbon sequestration values were calculated, an assessment was conducted on their significance in terms of mitigating atmospheric CO2 concentration. This assessment considered the equivalence of 7.8 Mg CO2 for 1 ppm of atmospheric CO2 (CDIAC, 1990Carbon Dioxide Information Analysis Center - CDIAC. Glossary: Carbon dioxide and climate. Oak Ridge, Tennessee: Oak Ridge National Laboratory; 1990 [cited 2023 Aug 19]. Available from: https://web.archive.org/web/20170118004650/http://cdiac.ornl.gov/pns/ convert.html
https://web.archive.org/web/201701180046...
). Subsequently, a discussion and critical analysis of the results obtained was undertaken, considering the challenges and prospects associated with the feasibility and scalability of carbon sequestration practices through land-use and management.

RESULTS

Definition of pasture carbon sequestration factors

The systematic review identified 5,718 articles, with 336 classified as located in Brazil. From these, 67 articles were selected for analysis, resulting in 23 publications for data tabulation. Out of these, 22 were obtained through the Scopus platform search, and one additional reference identified in one of these articles was incorporated. For two publications, the tabulation of qualitative data was complemented by references cited by the studies, one for each. Finally, 17 studies were selected to define the SEQ factors applied to estimate soil carbon sequestration potential in Brazil’s south region pastures. Results show a broad variability of SEQ rate values found among different publications, ranging from 7.43 to 0.15 Mg C ha-1 yr-1 with a series of intermediate values between these extremes (Table 5).

Table 5
Summary of the results found for carbon sequestration in pastures from the systematic literature review

Based on the list of carbon sequestration factors for managed pastures identified by the systematic literature review, the conceptual distribution table of SEQ factors for the estimate calculations of pastures carbon sequestration potential was populated with reference values. This was done through judgment and critical analysis of the results found in the literature. Thus, the maximum, average and minimum SEQ factors for clayey texture were defined as 2.50; 1.25; and 0.50 Mg C ha-1 yr-1, respectively. These values were then proportionally adjusted for other textural classes according to the ratios derived from Stanley et al. (2018)Stanley PL, Rowntree JE, Beede DK, Delonge MS, Hamm MW. Impacts of soil carbon sequestration on life cycle greenhouse gas emissions in Midwestern USA beef finishing systems. Agr Syst. 2018;162:249-58. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2018.02.003
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2018.02.0...
, as described in the methodology. This resulted in the values 2.00; 1.00; and 0.40 Mg C ha-1 yr-1 for clay-sandy texture, and 1.25; 0.50; and 0.25 Mg C ha-1 yr-1 for sandy texture, as shown in table 6.

Table 6
Factors considered for calculating the estimated potential for soil carbon sequestration through appropriate management of pastures in southern Brazil

Carbon sequestration potential from pasture recovery and management

Results for carbon sequestration potential of pasture areas found in the calculations range from 0.433 to 1.273 Gt CO2 for the different scenarios considered (Table 7). These findings indicate the capacity to mitigate climate change effects through carbon sequestration in these pasture areas is not very significant. The balance of removals over a 20-year period in the most optimistic scenario is approximately 6.5 times less than the amount of CO2 removal needed to reduce the concentration of the gas in the atmosphere by 1 ppm.

Table 7
Potential carbon sequestration calculated for the scenarios considered

DISCUSSION

Due to the numerous variables influencing the observed and reported carbon sequestration values, and the limited number of available publications, it is not possible to make an assertive inference about the reasons explaining this variability, which is a limitation of this research. Counterintuitive results for experiments with different characteristics are also observed, such as SEQ values in pasture areas shortly after the conversion of native forest (Santos et al., 2019Santos CA, Rezende CP, Pinheiro EFM, Pereira JM, Alves BJR, Urquiaga S, Boddey RM. Changes in soil carbon stocks after land-use change from native vegetation to pastures in the Atlantic Forest region of Brazil. Geoderma. 2019;337:394-401. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geoderma.2018.09.045
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geoderma.2018....
) being higher than values observed in pastures converted from other previous non-conservative uses (Tarré et al., 2001Tarré R, Macedo R, Cantarutti RB, Rezende CP, Pereira JM, Ferreira E, Alves BJR, Urquiaga S, Boddey RM. The effect of the presence of a forage legume on nitrogen and carbon levels in soils under Brachiaria pastures in the Atlantic Forest region of the South of Bahia, Brazil. Plant Soil. 2001;234:15-26. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1010533721740
https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1010533721740...
; Piva et al., 2020Piva JT, Dieckow J, Bayer C, Pergher M, Albuquerque MA, Moraes A, Pauletti V. No-tillage and crop-livestock with silage production impact little on carbon and nitrogen in the short-term in a subtropical Ferralsol. Rev Bras Cienc Agrar. 2020;15:e7057. https://doi.org/10.5039/agraria.v15i3a7057
https://doi.org/10.5039/agraria.v15i3a70...
). This highlights the presence of a wide range of variables in pasture management influencing soil ability to sequester carbon.

Among the variables influencing the observed SEQ rates are the comparative basis adopted, layer depth sampled, soil texture, experiment duration, management system type, grazing pressure, sward height, adoption or non-adoption of soil tillage, fertilization, crops used and climatic conditions (Pinto et al., 2014Pinto JC, Pimentel RM, Zinn YL, Chizzotti FHM. Soil organic carbon stocks in a Brazilian Oxisol under different pasture systems. Trop Grasslands – Forrajes Trop. 2014;2:121-3. https://doi.org/10.17138/tgft(2)121-123
https://doi.org/10.17138/tgft(2)121-123...
; Cardozo Jr et al., 2016Cardozo Jr FM, Carneiro RFV, Leite LFC, Araujo ASF. Soil carbon pools in different pasture systems. Span J Agric Res. 2016;14:e11SC01. https://doi.org/10.5424/sjar/2016141-7939
https://doi.org/10.5424/sjar/2016141-793...
; Seó et al., 2017Seó HLS, Machado Filho LCP, Brugnara D. Rationally managed pastures stock more carbon than no-tillage fields. Front Environ Sci. 2017;5:87. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2017.00087
https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2017.00087...
; Santos et al., 2019Santos CA, Rezende CP, Pinheiro EFM, Pereira JM, Alves BJR, Urquiaga S, Boddey RM. Changes in soil carbon stocks after land-use change from native vegetation to pastures in the Atlantic Forest region of Brazil. Geoderma. 2019;337:394-401. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geoderma.2018.09.045
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geoderma.2018....
; Segnini et al., 2019Segnini A, Xavier AAP, Otavini-Junior PL, Oliveira PPA, Pedroso AF, Praes MFFM, Rodrigues PHM, Milori DMBP. Soil carbon stock and humification in pastures under different levels of intensification in Brazil. Sci Agric. 2019;76:33-40. https://doi.org/10.1590/1678-992X-2017-0131
https://doi.org/10.1590/1678-992X-2017-0...
), with emphasis on the first five mentioned aspects. Due to the complexity resulting from the combination of these different variables related to carbon sequestration, the characteristics and volume of data available make it impossible to conduct a conclusive statistical or empirical analysis of each variable preponderance on the sequestration values found, based on the sample set obtained by this research.

However, one observation that can be made is that longer observation times tend to show a reduction in the observed SEQ values, as evident in the analysis of publications reporting different values for the same experiment (Pinto et al., 2014Pinto JC, Pimentel RM, Zinn YL, Chizzotti FHM. Soil organic carbon stocks in a Brazilian Oxisol under different pasture systems. Trop Grasslands – Forrajes Trop. 2014;2:121-3. https://doi.org/10.17138/tgft(2)121-123
https://doi.org/10.17138/tgft(2)121-123...
; Oliveira et al., 2020aOliveira PPA, Berndt A, Pedroso AF, Alves TC, Pezzopane JRM, Sakamoto LS, Henrique FL, Rodrigues PHM. Greenhouse gas balance and carbon footprint of pasture-based beef cattle production systems in the tropical region (Atlantic Forest biome). Animal. 2020a;14:s427-37. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1751731120001822
https://doi.org/10.1017/S175173112000182...
). This indicates that greater carbon accumulations tend to occur in the initial years and are amortized over time. A comparison between different publications cannot be made for the reasons mentioned above, given the heterogeneity of conditions identified for the aspects that influence the results found in the studies. On the other hand, it could be mistakenly stated that continuous management systems (Pinto et al., 2014Pinto JC, Pimentel RM, Zinn YL, Chizzotti FHM. Soil organic carbon stocks in a Brazilian Oxisol under different pasture systems. Trop Grasslands – Forrajes Trop. 2014;2:121-3. https://doi.org/10.17138/tgft(2)121-123
https://doi.org/10.17138/tgft(2)121-123...
) have higher carbon accumulation than rotational systems (Seó et al., 2017Seó HLS, Machado Filho LCP, Brugnara D. Rationally managed pastures stock more carbon than no-tillage fields. Front Environ Sci. 2017;5:87. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2017.00087
https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2017.00087...
; Segnini et al., 2019Segnini A, Xavier AAP, Otavini-Junior PL, Oliveira PPA, Pedroso AF, Praes MFFM, Rodrigues PHM, Milori DMBP. Soil carbon stock and humification in pastures under different levels of intensification in Brazil. Sci Agric. 2019;76:33-40. https://doi.org/10.1590/1678-992X-2017-0131
https://doi.org/10.1590/1678-992X-2017-0...
; Oliveira et al., 2020aOliveira PPA, Berndt A, Pedroso AF, Alves TC, Pezzopane JRM, Sakamoto LS, Henrique FL, Rodrigues PHM. Greenhouse gas balance and carbon footprint of pasture-based beef cattle production systems in the tropical region (Atlantic Forest biome). Animal. 2020a;14:s427-37. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1751731120001822
https://doi.org/10.1017/S175173112000182...
), which is not in line with the state-of-the-art knowledge on the dynamics of soil organic matter (SOM) accumulation and CS increase in these types of systems (Machado, 2004Machado LCP. Pastoreio Racional Voisin: Tecnologia agroecológica para o terceiro milênio. Porto Alegre, RS: Cinco continentes; 2004.; Machado Filho et al., 2021; Mosier et al., 2021Mosier S, Apfelbaum S, Byck P, Calderon F, Teague R, Thompson R, Cotrufo MF. Adaptive multi-paddock grazing enhances soil carbon and nitrogen stocks and stabilization through mineral association in southeastern U.S. grazing lands. J Environ Manage. 2021;288:112409. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2021.112409
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2021.1...
).

Although indications about the best management practices in terms of carbon sequestration can be obtained through studies that isolated some variables, other limitations persist due to the lack of representativeness of publications. For example, while authors who worked with sward height as a control variable reported higher soil carbon accumulations for higher sward heights (Cecagno et al., 2018Cecagno D, Gomes MV, Costa SEVG, Martins AP, Denardin LGO, Bayer C, Anghinoni I, Carvalho PCF. Soil organic carbon in an integrated crop-livestock system under different grazing intensities. Rev Bras Cienc Agrar. 2018;13:e5553. https://doi.org/10.5039/agraria.v13i3a5553
https://doi.org/10.5039/agraria.v13i3a55...
), others found divergent values for different time horizons (Souza et al., 2009Souza DD, Costa SEVGA, Anghinoni I, Carvalho PCF, Andrigueti M, Cao E. Estoques de carbono orgânico e de nitrogênio no solo em sistema de integração lavoura-pecuária em plantio direto, submetido a intensidades de pastejo. Rev Bras Cienc Solo. 2009;33:1829-36. https://doi.org/10.1590/S0100-06832009000600031
https://doi.org/10.1590/S0100-0683200900...
). Findings obtained by Cecagno et al. (2018)Cecagno D, Gomes MV, Costa SEVG, Martins AP, Denardin LGO, Bayer C, Anghinoni I, Carvalho PCF. Soil organic carbon in an integrated crop-livestock system under different grazing intensities. Rev Bras Cienc Agrar. 2018;13:e5553. https://doi.org/10.5039/agraria.v13i3a5553
https://doi.org/10.5039/agraria.v13i3a55...
are reinforced by Souza et al. (2009)Souza DD, Costa SEVGA, Anghinoni I, Carvalho PCF, Andrigueti M, Cao E. Estoques de carbono orgânico e de nitrogênio no solo em sistema de integração lavoura-pecuária em plantio direto, submetido a intensidades de pastejo. Rev Bras Cienc Solo. 2009;33:1829-36. https://doi.org/10.1590/S0100-06832009000600031
https://doi.org/10.1590/S0100-0683200900...
for an observed period of six years, but inverse results are reported for the first three years of the observation period.

Data heterogeneity reported by the publications is another relevant aspect in terms of either completeness or the adoption of different reference values and approaches. An example of this second aspect is the depth of the layer sampled, with sequestration values being reported between the different studies for layers varying between 0.05, 0.10, 0.20, 0.40 and 1.00 m (Table 5). Another example is the comparative basis used to estimate carbon sequestration through pasture management. While some publications use as a comparative basis the CS measured at a previous point in time in the experiment area (Nicoloso et al., 2008Nicoloso RS, Lovato T, Amado TJC, Bayer C, Lanzanova ME. Balanço do carbono orgânico no solo sob Integração lavoura-pecuária no sul do Brasil. Rev Bras Cienc Solo. 2008;32:2425-33. https://doi.org/10.1590/S0100-06832008000600020
https://doi.org/10.1590/S0100-0683200800...
; Souza et al., 2009Souza DD, Costa SEVGA, Anghinoni I, Carvalho PCF, Andrigueti M, Cao E. Estoques de carbono orgânico e de nitrogênio no solo em sistema de integração lavoura-pecuária em plantio direto, submetido a intensidades de pastejo. Rev Bras Cienc Solo. 2009;33:1829-36. https://doi.org/10.1590/S0100-06832009000600031
https://doi.org/10.1590/S0100-0683200900...
; Assman et al., 2014Assman JM, Anghinoni I, Martins AP, Costa SEVGA, Cecagno D, Carlos FS, Carvalho PCF. Soil carbon and nitrogen stocks and fractions in a long-term integrated crop–livestock system under no-tillage in southern Brazil. Agr Ecosyst Environ. 2014;190:52-9. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agee.2013.12.003
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agee.2013.12.0...
; Bieluczyk et al., 2020Bieluczyk W, Piccolo MC, Pereira MG, Moraes MTD, Soltangheisi A, Bernardi ACC, Pezzopane JRM, Oliveira P, Moreira MZ, Camargo PB, Dias CTS, Batista I, Cherubin MR. Integrated farming systems influence soil organic matter dynamics in southeastern Brazil. Geoderma. 2020;371:114368. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geoderma.2020.114368
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geoderma.2020....
; Resende et al., 2020Resende LO, Müller MD, Kohmann MM, Pinto LFG, Junior LC, Zen SD, Rego LFG. Silvopastoral management of beef cattle production for neutralizing the environmental impact of enteric methane emission. Agroforest Syst. 2020;94:893-903. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10457-019-00460-x
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10457-019-00460...
; Ribeiro et al., 2020Ribeiro RH, Ibarr MA, Besen MR, Bayer C, Piva JT. Managing grazing intensity to reduce the global warming potential in integrated crop–livestock systems under no-till agriculture. Eur J Soil Sci. 2020;71:1120-31. https://doi.org/10.1111/ejss.12904
https://doi.org/10.1111/ejss.12904...
) or in areas with the same crop type but with different management (Alves et al., 2020Alves LA, Denardin LGO, Martins AP, Bayer C, Veloso MG, Bremm C, Carvalho PCF, Machado DR, Tiecher T. The effect of crop rotation and sheep grazing management on plant production and soil C and N stocks in a long-term integrated crop-livestock system in Southern Brazil. Soil Till Res. 2020;203:104678. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.still.2020.104678
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.still.2020.104...
; Ramalho et al., 2020Ramalho B, Dieckow J, Barth G, Simon PL, Mangrich AS, Brevilieri RC. No-tillage and ryegrass grazing effects on stocks, stratification and lability of carbon and nitrogen in a subtropical Umbric Ferralsol. Eur J Soil Sci. 2020;71:1106-19. https://doi.org/10.1111/ejss.12933
https://doi.org/10.1111/ejss.12933...
), others consider areas with varying types of crop (Pinto et al., 2014Pinto JC, Pimentel RM, Zinn YL, Chizzotti FHM. Soil organic carbon stocks in a Brazilian Oxisol under different pasture systems. Trop Grasslands – Forrajes Trop. 2014;2:121-3. https://doi.org/10.17138/tgft(2)121-123
https://doi.org/10.17138/tgft(2)121-123...
; Seó et al., 2017Seó HLS, Machado Filho LCP, Brugnara D. Rationally managed pastures stock more carbon than no-tillage fields. Front Environ Sci. 2017;5:87. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2017.00087
https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2017.00087...
; Piva et al., 2020Piva JT, Dieckow J, Bayer C, Pergher M, Albuquerque MA, Moraes A, Pauletti V. No-tillage and crop-livestock with silage production impact little on carbon and nitrogen in the short-term in a subtropical Ferralsol. Rev Bras Cienc Agrar. 2020;15:e7057. https://doi.org/10.5039/agraria.v15i3a7057
https://doi.org/10.5039/agraria.v15i3a70...
) or even native vegetation (Oliveira et al., 2017Oliveira DMS, Lima RP, Barreto MSC, Vergurg EEJ, Mayrink GCV. Soil organic matter and nutrient accumulation in areas under intensive management and swine manure application. J Soils Sediments. 2017;17:1-10. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11368-016-1474-6
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11368-016-1474-...
; Segnini et al., 2019Segnini A, Xavier AAP, Otavini-Junior PL, Oliveira PPA, Pedroso AF, Praes MFFM, Rodrigues PHM, Milori DMBP. Soil carbon stock and humification in pastures under different levels of intensification in Brazil. Sci Agric. 2019;76:33-40. https://doi.org/10.1590/1678-992X-2017-0131
https://doi.org/10.1590/1678-992X-2017-0...
; Oliveira et al., 2020bOliveira PPA, Rodrigues PHM, Praes MFFM, Pedroso AF, Oliveira BA, Sperança MA, Bosi C, Fernandes FA. Soil carbon dynamics in Brazilian Atlantic Forest converted into pasture-based dairy production systems. Agron J. 2020b;113:1136-49. https://doi.org/10.1002/agj2.20578
https://doi.org/10.1002/agj2.20578...
) as the CS reference. This is a limiting factor for comparing and grouping the results obtained into representative sets of average carbon sequestration values by soil type, textural class, land-use class, and management system.

A recommendation already highlighted in the literature for new studies involving sustainable and regenerative agricultural practices, in terms of choosing the comparative basis for assessing variations in CS as a result of land-use changes and employed management techniques is to adopt as a comparative baseline, CS values found in correlated systems that better represent the initial conditions of the area where the experiment is taking place or the common practices adopted in business-as-usual scenarios. In general, these have a lower capacity for sequestering, storing, and maintaining soil CS when compared to areas of native vegetation, for example, and can allow for a more assertive assessment of the benefits that appropriate management practices can bring when employed in these conditions. In this sense, a suggestion for estimating variations in CS promoted by the adoption of practices such as crop-livestock integration (CLi) and crop-livestock-forest integration (CLFi) is the adoption of CS values observed in monoculture or degraded pasture systems as a comparative basis (Oliveira et al., 2023Oliveira DMS, Tavares RLM, Loss A, Madari BE, Cerri CEP, Alves BJR, Pereira MG, Cherubin MR. Climate-smart agriculture and soil C sequestration in Brazilian Cerrado: A systematic review. Rev Bras Cienc Solo. 2023; 47 nspe: e0220055. https://doi.org/10.36783/18069657rbcs20220055
https://doi.org/10.36783/18069657rbcs202...
). In these cases, the compatibility of other parameters related to the dynamics of SOC and CS between the two evaluated systems should also be observed, such as climatic conditions and soil textural class, for example.

Although positive carbon sequestration values have been reported when comparing the soil CS of managed pastures with that of areas under native vegetation, the opposite has also been found (Dalal et al., 2005Dalal RC, Harms BP, Krull ES, Wang W. Total soil organic matter and its labile pools following mulga (Acacia aneura) clearing for pasture development and cropping 1. Total and labile carbon. Aust J Soil Res. 2005;43:13-20. https://doi.org/10.1071/SR04044
https://doi.org/10.1071/SR04044...
; Wendling et al., 2011Wendling B, Jucksch I, Mendonça ES, Vinhal-Freitas IC. Carbon and nitrogen changes in diferent compartiments of the organic matter under agro-forestry pasture system. Cienc Florestal. 2011;21:641-53. https://doi.org/10.5902/198050984509
https://doi.org/10.5902/198050984509...
). In general, replacing forests with pastures leads to a loss in the total amount of carbon stored by the system (Oliveira et al., 2017Oliveira DMS, Lima RP, Barreto MSC, Vergurg EEJ, Mayrink GCV. Soil organic matter and nutrient accumulation in areas under intensive management and swine manure application. J Soils Sediments. 2017;17:1-10. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11368-016-1474-6
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11368-016-1474-...
), especially when considering other aspects such as aerial biomass. Using native vegetation soil CS values as a reference and comparative basis for estimating carbon sequestration or emissions promoted by managed systems implies limitations to interpreting these values. However, this characteristic is considered to provide a conservative approach to the estimates made under the assumptions of this research, as the baseline scenario is degraded pastures assuming further management through regenerative practices. Thus, it is expected an increasing trend for the CS values in these areas, excluding the potential forest carbon loss observed after native vegetation conversions for example.

Another important observation regarding the results obtained is, in some cases, sequestration values are directly presented by the studies (Souza et al., 2009Souza DD, Costa SEVGA, Anghinoni I, Carvalho PCF, Andrigueti M, Cao E. Estoques de carbono orgânico e de nitrogênio no solo em sistema de integração lavoura-pecuária em plantio direto, submetido a intensidades de pastejo. Rev Bras Cienc Solo. 2009;33:1829-36. https://doi.org/10.1590/S0100-06832009000600031
https://doi.org/10.1590/S0100-0683200900...
; Bieluczyk et al., 2020Bieluczyk W, Piccolo MC, Pereira MG, Moraes MTD, Soltangheisi A, Bernardi ACC, Pezzopane JRM, Oliveira P, Moreira MZ, Camargo PB, Dias CTS, Batista I, Cherubin MR. Integrated farming systems influence soil organic matter dynamics in southeastern Brazil. Geoderma. 2020;371:114368. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geoderma.2020.114368
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geoderma.2020....
; Oliveira et al., 2020bOliveira PPA, Rodrigues PHM, Praes MFFM, Pedroso AF, Oliveira BA, Sperança MA, Bosi C, Fernandes FA. Soil carbon dynamics in Brazilian Atlantic Forest converted into pasture-based dairy production systems. Agron J. 2020b;113:1136-49. https://doi.org/10.1002/agj2.20578
https://doi.org/10.1002/agj2.20578...
; Ramalho et al., 2020Ramalho B, Dieckow J, Barth G, Simon PL, Mangrich AS, Brevilieri RC. No-tillage and ryegrass grazing effects on stocks, stratification and lability of carbon and nitrogen in a subtropical Umbric Ferralsol. Eur J Soil Sci. 2020;71:1106-19. https://doi.org/10.1111/ejss.12933
https://doi.org/10.1111/ejss.12933...
), while in other cases it is necessary to calculate them through the difference between two different CS values presented by the study (e.g., CS in pasture area and CS in native vegetation), divided by the time horizon since the conversion or implementation of the management system (Pinto et al., 2014Pinto JC, Pimentel RM, Zinn YL, Chizzotti FHM. Soil organic carbon stocks in a Brazilian Oxisol under different pasture systems. Trop Grasslands – Forrajes Trop. 2014;2:121-3. https://doi.org/10.17138/tgft(2)121-123
https://doi.org/10.17138/tgft(2)121-123...
; Seó et al., 2017Seó HLS, Machado Filho LCP, Brugnara D. Rationally managed pastures stock more carbon than no-tillage fields. Front Environ Sci. 2017;5:87. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2017.00087
https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2017.00087...
; Segnini et al., 2019Segnini A, Xavier AAP, Otavini-Junior PL, Oliveira PPA, Pedroso AF, Praes MFFM, Rodrigues PHM, Milori DMBP. Soil carbon stock and humification in pastures under different levels of intensification in Brazil. Sci Agric. 2019;76:33-40. https://doi.org/10.1590/1678-992X-2017-0131
https://doi.org/10.1590/1678-992X-2017-0...
; Resende et al., 2020Resende LO, Müller MD, Kohmann MM, Pinto LFG, Junior LC, Zen SD, Rego LFG. Silvopastoral management of beef cattle production for neutralizing the environmental impact of enteric methane emission. Agroforest Syst. 2020;94:893-903. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10457-019-00460-x
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10457-019-00460...
). This possibly reveals there is not always a concern in highlighting this information by part of the authors. Both positive (Table 5) and negative variations in CS are found in the literature (Nicoloso et al., 2008Nicoloso RS, Lovato T, Amado TJC, Bayer C, Lanzanova ME. Balanço do carbono orgânico no solo sob Integração lavoura-pecuária no sul do Brasil. Rev Bras Cienc Solo. 2008;32:2425-33. https://doi.org/10.1590/S0100-06832008000600020
https://doi.org/10.1590/S0100-0683200800...
; Segnini et al., 2019Segnini A, Xavier AAP, Otavini-Junior PL, Oliveira PPA, Pedroso AF, Praes MFFM, Rodrigues PHM, Milori DMBP. Soil carbon stock and humification in pastures under different levels of intensification in Brazil. Sci Agric. 2019;76:33-40. https://doi.org/10.1590/1678-992X-2017-0131
https://doi.org/10.1590/1678-992X-2017-0...
; Oliveira et al., 2020aOliveira PPA, Berndt A, Pedroso AF, Alves TC, Pezzopane JRM, Sakamoto LS, Henrique FL, Rodrigues PHM. Greenhouse gas balance and carbon footprint of pasture-based beef cattle production systems in the tropical region (Atlantic Forest biome). Animal. 2020a;14:s427-37. https://doi.org/10.1017/S1751731120001822
https://doi.org/10.1017/S175173112000182...
, 2020b; Piva et al., 2020Piva JT, Dieckow J, Bayer C, Pergher M, Albuquerque MA, Moraes A, Pauletti V. No-tillage and crop-livestock with silage production impact little on carbon and nitrogen in the short-term in a subtropical Ferralsol. Rev Bras Cienc Agrar. 2020;15:e7057. https://doi.org/10.5039/agraria.v15i3a7057
https://doi.org/10.5039/agraria.v15i3a70...
), and the negative variations may be associated with different reasons, such as conversion of native vegetation areas and comparison with their original soil CS, or inadequate management practices from the point of view of organic matter accumulation.

Currently, the concentration of atmospheric CO2 is approximately 140 ppm above pre-industrial levels, which reinforces the fact that the best measure to contain the worsening effects of climate change is to avoid new GHG emissions into the atmosphere. However, the capacity of soils to sequester and store carbon on a global level cannot be considered negligible. On the opposite, a study recently published by the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) reveals for soils under different types of agricultural occupation around the world, improving management practices could result in an annual removal balance of 31 Gt CO2 (UNEP, 2022United Nations Environment Programme - UNEP. Emissions Gap Report 2022: The Closing Window - Climate crisis calls for rapid transformation of societies. Nairobi: UNEP; 2022. Available from: https://wedocs.unep.org/20.500.11822/40874.
https://wedocs.unep.org/20.500.11822/408...
), enough to reduce atmospheric CO2 concentration by approximately 4 ppm per year.

Although in the scenario definition of this research, a greater potential for increasing CS was considered for degraded areas, depending on their level of degradation and the practices to be employed, the time horizon required for carbon sequestration rates to reach satisfactory levels may vary. Due to degradation, at early recovery stages, these areas may have a lower biomass productivity potential and, consequently, a lower amount of organic matter availability to be incorporated into the soil, which is a key factor for sustaining carbon sequestration rates (Cecagno et al., 2018Cecagno D, Gomes MV, Costa SEVG, Martins AP, Denardin LGO, Bayer C, Anghinoni I, Carvalho PCF. Soil organic carbon in an integrated crop-livestock system under different grazing intensities. Rev Bras Cienc Agrar. 2018;13:e5553. https://doi.org/10.5039/agraria.v13i3a5553
https://doi.org/10.5039/agraria.v13i3a55...
; Santos et al., 2019Santos CA, Rezende CP, Pinheiro EFM, Pereira JM, Alves BJR, Urquiaga S, Boddey RM. Changes in soil carbon stocks after land-use change from native vegetation to pastures in the Atlantic Forest region of Brazil. Geoderma. 2019;337:394-401. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geoderma.2018.09.045
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geoderma.2018....
). Thus, lower carbon sequestration rates could be found in initial years for scenarios of greater degradation until they reach higher levels with the recovery of such areas’ productive capacity. Despite this, significant carbon sequestration rates for short time horizons after intervention with management in pastures areas previously maintained under non-conservationist management are found (Pinto et al., 2014Pinto JC, Pimentel RM, Zinn YL, Chizzotti FHM. Soil organic carbon stocks in a Brazilian Oxisol under different pasture systems. Trop Grasslands – Forrajes Trop. 2014;2:121-3. https://doi.org/10.17138/tgft(2)121-123
https://doi.org/10.17138/tgft(2)121-123...
; Martins et al., 2017Martins AP, Denardin LGO, Borin JBM, Carlos FS, Barros T, Ozório DVB, Carmona FC, Anghinoni I, Camargo FAO, Carvalho PFC. Short-term impacts on soil-quality assessment in alternative land uses of traditional paddy fields in southern Brazil. Land Degrad Dev. 2017;28:534-42. https://doi.org/10.1002/ldr.2640
https://doi.org/10.1002/ldr.2640...
).

Another relevant aspect to be mentioned is that the premise of a greater sequestration potential in severely degraded areas, as previously supported in the literature (Szakács, 2003Szakács GGJ. Sequestro de carbono nos solos – Avaliação das potencialidades dos solos arenosos sob pastagens, Anhembi - Piracicaba/SP. Piracicaba, SP: CENA/USP; 2003. Available from: https://teses.usp.br/teses/disponiveis/64/64132/tde-19042004-154937/pt-br.php.
https://teses.usp.br/teses/disponiveis/6...
), is based on the understanding the previous loss in CS results in a greater SEQ capacity when recovering the area, due to the originated deficit. Although, the notion that there is a carbon saturation point in the soil representing a limitation for its SEQ capacity is questioned by some authors in the scientific literature (Mathieu et al., 2015Mathieu J, Hatte C, Balesdent J, Parent E. Deep soil carbon dynamics are driven more by soil type than by climate: A worldwide meta-analysis of radiocarbon profiles. Glob Change Biol. 2015;21:4278-92. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13012
https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.13012...
; Fontaine et al., 2018Fontaine S, Stahl C, Klumpp K, Picon-Cochard C, Grise MM, Dezécache C, Ponchant L, Freycon V, Blanc L, Bonal D, Burban B, Soussana JF, Blanfort V, Alvarez G. Response to Editor to the comment by Schipper & Smith to our paper entitled “Continuous soil carbon storage of old permanent pastures in Amazonia”. Glob Change Biol. 2018;00:1-2. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14028
https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.14028...
).

Still, pasture recovery and management activities can result in increased GHG emissions when compared to a baseline scenario, either through enteric fermentation methane emissions led by increasing animal occupation, fossil fuels-powered machinery, or other reasons such as the use and displacement of raw materials. Therefore, the net carbon sequestration balance promoted by management and recovery interventions may be lower than the results found. However, activities such as intensification of pasture-based livestock with rotational management and livestock-forest integration can be developed to amortize this balance (Stanley et al., 2018Stanley PL, Rowntree JE, Beede DK, Delonge MS, Hamm MW. Impacts of soil carbon sequestration on life cycle greenhouse gas emissions in Midwestern USA beef finishing systems. Agr Syst. 2018;162:249-58. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2018.02.003
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agsy.2018.02.0...
; Machado Filho et al., 2021Machado Filho LCP, Seó HLS, Daros RR, Enriquez-Hidalgo D, Wendling AV, Machado LCP. Voisin rational grazing as a sustainable alternative for livestock production. Animals. 2021;11:3494. https://doi.org/10.3390/ani11123494
https://doi.org/10.3390/ani11123494...
). This highlights the importance of taking a systemic and integrative approach to agricultural and landscape management practices into consideration when discussing public policies and market incentives, guiding the sector practices towards a decarbonization path aligned with the Paris Agreement’s primary goal of limiting global warming between 1.5 and 2 °C by the end of the century.

In this sense, there is currently an early stage but growing movement, which brings together large corporations and agents to diffuse initiatives, seeking to develop solutions that directly or indirectly contribute to overcoming bottlenecks for the regeneration of landscapes and pastures at scale, with a powerful appeal over the perspective of these systems carbon sequestration capacity. These arrangements range from business models and/or product innovations (e.g., Inocas, Belterra, Agroforestry Carbon, InPlanet); new reforestation-focused ventures arising from the coalition of major players and/or agents with the capacity to raise large amounts of investment (e.g., Biomas, Mombak, Re. Green); technological and intelligence solutions to increase the integrity and scalability potential of carbon measurements techniques and projects (e.g., Pachama, Sylvera, Arable); and alternative, low-cost carbon certification models to increase the voluntary carbon market accessibility to small and medium-sized producers and landowners (e.g. Bluebell Index, Carbify, Regen.Network, ONCRA).

Finally, the public and private sectors must create the proper incentive and support conditions necessary for transitioning agricultural production systems through the adoption of conservative and regenerative practices, such as technical assistance and rural extension (TARE) and incentive programs and credit lines, designed to suit the specific needs of different actors that can play a contributing role in this context.

CONCLUSIONS

Managed pastures can sustain soil carbon sequestration rates above the average found in the literature, with values as high as 2.50 Mg C ha-1 yr-1 for prolonged periods of the order of 20 years. Due to the large number of variables that influence SEQ rates; the limited number of publications found; and the lack of data for some of these variables among different publications; a larger set of publications and data needs to be analyzed to establish causal and preponderance relationships on the effect of each of these variables on the reported SEQ rates through a multivariate analysis.

Although the carbon sequestration potential for the specific pasture areas restricted to the south region of Brazil is not representative for promoting a significant reduction in atmospheric CO2 concentration, in terms of mitigating climate change, literature suggests carbon sequestration by soils under agricultural management can play a significant role for this purpose, integrating the necessary set of solutions and actions for a Paris Agreement’s goal compatible trajectory, of limiting global warming to between 1.5 and 2 °C by the end of the century.

For this to happen, coordinated efforts and political and financial incentives are needed to match the scale and speed required to implement these measures. For carbon finance instruments to make a significant contribution to this scenario, it is necessary to accelerate the development and application of technologies that make it possible to measure changes in soil carbon stocks in a reliable, cost-effective, and periodic manner at a large scale.

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

The authors would like to thank the financial support of the Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq) (No. 311474/2021-7) Project and CAPES PDPG - Pós-Doutorado Estratégico (No. 88881.691714/2022-01).

  • How to cite: Fronza EE, ten Caten A, Bittencourt F, Zambiazi DC, Schmitt Filho AL, Seó HLS, Loss A. Carbon sequestration potential of pastures in Southern Brazil: A systematic review. Rev Bras Cienc Solo. 2024;48:e0230121. https://doi.org/10.36783/18069657rbcs20230121

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Edited by

Editors: José Miguel Reichert https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9943-2898 and Marcos Gervasio Pereira https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1402-3612

Publication Dates

  • Publication in this collection
    17 June 2024
  • Date of issue
    2024

History

  • Received
    23 Oct 2023
  • Accepted
    05 Feb 2024
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